MLB · resolved market
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x223fc0a24be65ca5d903b8f2dd5a404bee9908cea63f8f0a45249922bb34a522
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof San Francisco Giants, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 74c | 4,727$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.11 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 18c | 4,037$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.77 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 537.16$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.12 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics | 62c | 534.18$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.99 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 493.63$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.64 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Athletics | 62c | 420$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed San Francisco Giants | 70c | 320.96$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.39 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked San Francisco Giants | 20c | 272.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Athletics | 62c | 252.12$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants | 39c | 245.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 219.28$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 74c | 203.62$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed San Francisco Giants | 19c | 180.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Athletics | 62c | 171.81$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Athletics | 74c | 159.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Athletics | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Athletics | 65c | 144.01$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 124.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 118.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked San Francisco Giants | 18c | 104$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked San Francisco Giants | 66c | 103.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed San Francisco Giants | 17c | 83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed San Francisco Giants | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants | 16c | 76.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 71c | 76.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 73.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Athletics | 71c | 72.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Athletics | 74c | 67.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Athletics | 32c | 62.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…bc14backed San Francisco Giants | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 59.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 59.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 22c | 58.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Athletics | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Athletics | 62c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed San Francisco Giants | 33c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Athletics | 63c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 41.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 40.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Athletics | 37c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 30.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 29.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Athletics | 49c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Athletics | 63c | 23.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Athletics | 63c | 18.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Athletics | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)this page
- Athletics vs. San Francisco GiantsAthletics won
- Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Over won
- Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. San Francisco GiantsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.