Tennis · resolved market
ITF Porto: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Francisco Rocha
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7848707d4cf80dfb218f6efe07796727d5d403b799415eb20284ed0065ab0c3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francisco Rochaof Eliakim Coulibaly, Francisco Rocha
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b85…55f5backed Eliakim Coulibaly | 4c | 4,200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Francisco Rocha | 25c | 3,815$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876.72 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 2c | 3,540$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +209.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 5c | 3,000$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +131.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…3ce9backed Eliakim Coulibaly | 10c | 2,800$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 11cpaid | +184.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…9e2dbacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 10c | 2,800$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.2 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 11cpaid | +161%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 3c | 2,560$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 8cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 71c | 1,444$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.01 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 77c | 1,264$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.42 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Eliakim Coulibaly | 13c | 1,250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 17cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 73c | 1,130$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.7 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 14c | 913$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.06 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Eliakim Coulibaly | 11c | 833$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.26 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Eliakim Coulibaly | 27c | 800$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Eliakim Coulibaly | 27c | 800$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 11c | 800$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +10.2wins | +0.21per pick | 10cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 27c | 800$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 23c | 787$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.79 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 15c | 773$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.53 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Eliakim Coulibaly | 15c | 773$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.53 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 15c | 773$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.53 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…b19cbacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 12c | 706$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Eliakim Coulibaly | 21c | 688$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.81 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x990d…e207backed Eliakim Coulibaly | 13c | 625$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Eliakim Coulibaly | 23c | 473$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.53 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 20c | 406$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Eliakim Coulibaly | 27c | 400$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Eliakim Coulibaly | 77c | 374.33$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.4 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Francisco Rocha | 22c | 196.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.9 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 42c | 42.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Eliakim Coulibaly | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Eliakim Coulibaly | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Eliakim Coulibaly | 78c | 21.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.