Tennis · resolved market
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Fery
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a30f99ff30707d8883622dc7aa1a61127c0f4e2395b6b19ede4f8c46a919582
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arthur Feryof Adrian Mannarino, Arthur Fery
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $699,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $714,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $699,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 441 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Adrian Mannarino | 43c | 133,738$57,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,893.7 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arthur Fery | 59c | 60,894$35,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,907.59 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 51c | 45,678$23,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,295.78 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Arthur Fery | 57c | 30,000$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arthur Fery | 62c | 29,703$18,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,281.5 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Arthur Fery | 57c | 23,051$13,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,002.5 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arthur Fery | 57c | 19,778$11,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,582.32 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Arthur Fery | 57c | 19,299$10,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,393.79 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Adrian Mannarino | 31c | 15,678$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860.15 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Arthur Fery | 46c | 13,906$6,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,509.17 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arthur Fery | 59c | 13,376$7,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,533.01 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Arthur Fery | 72c | 12,000$8,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Arthur Fery | 64c | 10,424$6,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,708.14 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Arthur Fery | 64c | 8,345$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,044.53 | 361 | 45.2%163 W · 198 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…2680backed Adrian Mannarino | 56c | 7,194$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Arthur Fery | 52c | 6,802$3,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,293.11 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Adrian Mannarino | 46c | 6,242$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.46 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Arthur Fery | 47c | 6,212$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,292.31 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Adrian Mannarino | 54c | 5,500$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.99 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Arthur Fery | 59c | 5,432$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.42 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Arthur Fery | 68c | 5,308$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.2 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked Adrian Mannarino | 44c | 5,192$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.75 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa213…6907backed Adrian Mannarino | 33c | 5,050$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.48 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Adrian Mannarino | 36c | 4,958$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.6 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb0…f8babacked Adrian Mannarino | 41c | 4,900$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Arthur Fery | 63c | 4,429$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.57 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Arthur Fery | 46c | 4,402$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.19 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd6…1fa0backed Adrian Mannarino | 39c | 4,396$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.51 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Adrian Mannarino | 42c | 4,394$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.46 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Arthur Fery | 64c | 4,234$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.07 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Adrian Mannarino | 38c | 4,223$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.18 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd231…633cbacked Adrian Mannarino | 36c | 4,078$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.18 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Adrian Mannarino | 36c | 3,615$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.78 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Adrian Mannarino | 45c | 3,333$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.96 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Arthur Fery | 58c | 3,244$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.19 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Arthur Fery | 60c | 3,229$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.95 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Adrian Mannarino | 36c | 3,155$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.99 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe6…7027backed Arthur Fery | 65c | 3,100$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Arthur Fery | 44c | 3,049$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.09 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Arthur Fery | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.32 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Adrian Mannarino | 39c | 2,983$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.47 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Arthur Fery | 46c | 2,921$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.82 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…5b38backed Adrian Mannarino | 44c | 2,882$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.99 | 361 | 57.1%206 W · 155 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Arthur Fery | 66c | 2,861$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.81 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Adrian Mannarino | 41c | 2,693$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.13 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 27c | 2,603$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Adrian Mannarino | 40c | 2,587$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.82 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Arthur Fery | 48c | 2,450$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…d56cbacked Adrian Mannarino | 41c | 2,369$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.48 | 244 | 51.6%126 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Adrian Mannarino | 49c | 2,347$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.31 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Arthur Fery | 64c | 2,300$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.46 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Arthur Fery | 57c | 2,271$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.4 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Adrian Mannarino | 36c | 2,015$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.21 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…fc9bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 51c | 1,952$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 223 | 52%116 W · 107 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Arthur Fery | 72c | 1,919$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.8 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Arthur Fery | 45c | 1,704$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.56 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Adrian Mannarino | 55c | 1,622$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.28 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Adrian Mannarino | 37c | 1,607$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 246 | 31.3%77 W · 169 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Adrian Mannarino | 45c | 1,542$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Adrian Mannarino | 54c | 1,529$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.41 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2152…16b4backed Adrian Mannarino | 35c | 1,520$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa09…b681backed Adrian Mannarino | 42c | 1,520$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.49 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Adrian Mannarino | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Adrian Mannarino | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked Arthur Fery | 58c | 1,484$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.03 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…443ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 43c | 1,330$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Adrian Mannarino | 51c | 1,220$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.34 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca4…348fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 47c | 1,178$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.96 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Adrian Mannarino | 45c | 1,115$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.98 | 401 | 44.4%178 W · 223 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Arthur Fery | 45c | 1,097$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.13 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Adrian Mannarino | 46c | 1,092$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 56c | 1,069$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.86 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Adrian Mannarino | 31c | 1,059$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…c18fbacked Arthur Fery | 63c | 1,054$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.97 | 225 | 62.7%141 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Adrian Mannarino | 53c | 1,000$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.02 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Arthur Fery | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Adrian Mannarino | 53c | 1,000$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Adrian Mannarino | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Arthur Fery | 47c | 1,000$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.39 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Arthur Fery | 46c | 983.12$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.23 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Adrian Mannarino | 43c | 963.25$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.15 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Arthur Fery | 62c | 959$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.6 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Arthur Fery | 44c | 955.02$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.67 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Adrian Mannarino | 53c | 933.96$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 54c | 922.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Adrian Mannarino | 37c | 909.54$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.53 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 47c | 902.9$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Arthur Fery | 55c | 901$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.87 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed Adrian Mannarino | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 299 | 48.5%145 W · 154 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Arthur Fery | 50c | 873$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.5 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Adrian Mannarino | 39c | 866.77$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.52 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Arthur Fery | 62c | 861.1$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.94 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe22…50d6backed Adrian Mannarino | 53c | 853.64$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.43 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…9af1backed Adrian Mannarino | 54c | 833.33$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Arthur Fery | 49c | 808.16$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.16 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Adrian Mannarino | 30c | 779.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.6 | 523 | 41.5%217 W · 306 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Arthur Fery | 63c | 772.36$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.36 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Adrian Mannarino | 33c | 754.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.78 | 439 | 50.8%223 W · 216 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Adrian Mannarino | 22c | 749.97$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.49 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arthur Fery | 55c | 740.71$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.63 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Ferythis page
- Adrian Mannarino vs. Arthur Fery: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Mannarino vs FeryFery won
- Set Handicap: Mannarino (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)Fery won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.