WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 180.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4df1e4ab72b6fe5187717861ad9f724010235ec70b0fb3e4df20045bead6f4a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 23,891$11,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,240.24 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 10,652$5,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,484.56 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 52c | 3,664$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.8 | 410 | 51.2%210 W · 200 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 34c | 3,328$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.63 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 3,198$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.96 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 1,665$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.56 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…3ce9backed Under | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 50c | 1,372$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.68 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 52c | 1,289$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.02 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854b…8f97backed Under | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 51c | 1,169$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 1,149$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.75 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 1,024$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.24 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 53c | 930.04$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…cd44backed Under | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…896cbacked Under | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339d…b918backed Under | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 33c | 767.72$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.57 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…52eebacked Under | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 639.95$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.89 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 16c | 632$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc50…f8debacked Over | 50c | 609.96$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.8 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 552.25$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.95 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 14c | 459$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Under | 21c | 406$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Under | 21c | 406$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 34c | 390.7$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.49 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 43c | 365.34$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.08 | 370 | 54.1%200 W · 170 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 46c | 346.97$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.41 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 40c | 344.11$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.46 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 414 | 46.6%193 W · 221 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Under | 39c | 279.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 44c | 260.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 53c | 228.41$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.69 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Under | 46c | 215.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 152.37$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 51c | 146.24$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 43c | 145$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 56c | 141$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.93 | 321 | 48.6%156 W · 165 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…e7acbacked Over | 48c | 128.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 52c | 122.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 42c | 115$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 29c | 111.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 76c | 106.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 41c | 103.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Under | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 48c | 92.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 40c | 82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 46c | 72.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 52c | 68.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 35c | 62.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 39c | 57.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 45c | 50.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 43c | 49.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 45c | 45.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Over | 63c | 43.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 52c | 40.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 40c | 38.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 51c | 36.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 51c | 35.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 352 | 54.3%191 W · 161 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 38c | 35.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 34c | 35.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2dfabacked Under | 73c | 34.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Under | 48c | 30.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…00d5backed Under | 49c | 30.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 52c | 22.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 180.5this page
- A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces won
- Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 179.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.