WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9cece1af4a079d3ac6574d049c25c731b451d8213e4de9daa6ce5f0302aa438
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 48c | 2,050$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 52c | 2,039$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.28 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 1,709$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.16 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 47c | 605.87$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.07 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 44c | 381.83$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.37 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 55c | 278.49$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.77 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 268.12$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.61 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 45c | 166.32$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 59c | 140$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 133.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 25c | 107.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 48c | 89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 84.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 70.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 23c | 62.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 47c | 53.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 73c | 38.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 53c | 34.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 37c | 29.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 49c | 28.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 69c | 21.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 19.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5this page
- A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces won
- Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 179.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 180.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.