WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6797ea3128988dc6793132ac19f2705841c4b03fe726f221a4cd3f8cb723fb1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Las Vegas Aces, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky | 46c | 6,842$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133.36 | 1,803 | 51.8%934 W · 869 L | +56.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 2,838$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.2 | 281 | 48.8%137 W · 144 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 2,818$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 2,243$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.7 | 520 | 52.9%275 W · 245 L | +19.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Las Vegas Aces | 42c | 2,125$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 1,891$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.11 | 856 | 58.4%500 W · 356 L | +70.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 1,679$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.79 | 803 | 48.7%391 W · 412 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago Sky | 58c | 1,506$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.42 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Chicago Sky | 51c | 1,327$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.1 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 923.08$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Las Vegas Aces | 63c | 792.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.32 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 545$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.35 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 450$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a6…d556backed Chicago Sky | 43c | 431.94$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Chicago Sky | 44c | 399.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.14 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 329.86$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.03 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 236$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Las Vegas Aces | 59c | 183.68$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 1,635 | 50.2%820 W · 815 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 181.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Chicago Sky | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 128.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 105.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Chicago Sky | 58c | 102$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Las Vegas Aces | 60c | 96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 92.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 77.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Las Vegas Aces | 40c | 76.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 75.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 65.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 55.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 49.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 44.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Las Vegas Aces | 64c | 40.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 40.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 40.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 69c | 36.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 36.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Chicago Sky | 71c | 23.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 23.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 22.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Las Vegas Aces | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 457 | 15.8%72 W · 385 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)this page
- A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces won
- Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 179.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 180.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.