Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA: Completed Match: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc1be728be0dff799a3c5ab7d3babf8fdf106d1f51187dee50446a4cc30ff1a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x260f…b0a0backed Yes | 53c | 12,687$6,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,982.79 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +6.1wins | +0.77per pick | 11cpaid | +2,500.7%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…3ce9backed No | 15c | 1,943$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 11cpaid | +184.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…9e2dbacked No | 15c | 1,555$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 11cpaid | +161%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…7d84backed No | 15c | 1,555$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…7449backed No | 17c | 1,550$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.27per pick | 20cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…52eebacked No | 17c | 1,550$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae8…63e6backed No | 17c | 1,550$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked No | 13c | 900$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339d…b918backed No | 16c | 700$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 18c | 513$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.01 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked No | 8c | 180$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…855dbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked No | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon WTA: Completed Match: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikovathis page
- Bartunkova vs. Krejcikova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Bartunkova vs KrejcikovaKrejcikova won
- Set 2 Winner: Bartunkova vs KrejcikovaKrejcikova won
- Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora KrejcikovaBarbora Krejcikova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.