Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Bartunkova vs Krejcikova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x987d12dfc3dcb5f7dbeb3723c77e99606a7907ea7d8d0b1b78cb3c18f627b523
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krejcikovaof Bartunkova, Krejcikova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0587…0fe0backed Bartunkova | 35c | 775.75$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.64 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Krejcikova | 65c | 578.58$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.7 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bartunkova | 31c | 456.06$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.12 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Bartunkova | 50c | 376.69$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Krejcikova | 63c | 289.41$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.42 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Krejcikova | 60c | 252.5$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Krejcikova | 64c | 221.42$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…fb48backed Krejcikova | 69c | 215.17$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Krejcikova | 60c | 202$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Bartunkova | 51c | 158.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Krejcikova | 68c | 143.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Bartunkova | 50c | 100.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…0dacbacked Bartunkova | 45c | 84.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Bartunkova | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Krejcikova | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Krejcikova | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Bartunkova | 39c | 39.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2819…c2fcbacked Krejcikova | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Bartunkova | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 78.3%83 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Bartunkova vs Krejcikovathis page
- Bartunkova vs. Krejcikova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Bartunkova vs KrejcikovaKrejcikova won
- Wimbledon WTA: Completed Match: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora KrejcikovaYes won
- Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora KrejcikovaBarbora Krejcikova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.