MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6552e9af2c87412c9f7875d0f01e37782afe9c2fdcc943411af016e7d7d8828c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $392,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $431,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 19,265$9,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,825.38 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 17,772$11,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,124.24 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 15,957$8,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,297.77 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 14,454$7,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,516.06 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Philadelphia Phillies | 11c | 13,189$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.22 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 12,500$6,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,375 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 11,746$6,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,940.57 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 11,182$5,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,602.6 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 8,069$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.75 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 7,463$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.39 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 73c | 6,489$4,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.8 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 5,319$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.02 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa986…b4b5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 4,795$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 4,500$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.51 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 3,215$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.1 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 2,153$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.68 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 2,018$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.33 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 1,961$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.08 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 1,886$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.61 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,689$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.38 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,580$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.09 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,570$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.49 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 1,536$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.6 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.33 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 1,207$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.79 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 1,203$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.34 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 1,128$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.2 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,109$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.79 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 840$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 837.06$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.54 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 835.11$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.58 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 820.96$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.96 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 813.64$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.45 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 790.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 774.63$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.72 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 746$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.85 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 24c | 740$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 674.6$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.54 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins | 73c | 671.89$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.49 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 654.51$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.53 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 612.24$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.36 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 607.97$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.93 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed Miami Marlins | 67c | 504.99$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.65 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…ef1dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 500$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 500$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 23c | 490.02$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.82 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 461.54$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 461.22$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.11 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 417$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 400.89$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.36 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 399$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 25c | 398.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 389$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.32 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…8c75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 371.7$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 312.02$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.01 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 308.61$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.67 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…66dfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 307.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Miami Marlins | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 279$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.31 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 278.05$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.31 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 260$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 250$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Miami Marlins | 66c | 244.67$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 232.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Miami Marlins | 68c | 217.25$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 217$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 210.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 210.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.33 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…d412backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…04f6backed Miami Marlins | 73c | 207.77$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 205$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 204$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 192.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 185.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 175.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 166.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.