MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd0a71e6c6fdbea30bd7641f0a618635ef8bc1866e1fc06d1b875c0f8d68735a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $499,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $533,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 78,490$40,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,681.72 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 57c | 56,145$32,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,131.55 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Houston Astros | 36c | 39,946$14,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,268 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 35,000$15,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,950 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 23,900$13,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.41 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 23,638$11,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,705.03 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 7c | 22,799$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.98 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Houston Astros | 1c | 19,946$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.96 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 15,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 58c | 13,409$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 10,709$5,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,542.74 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Houston Astros | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 43c | 7,708$3,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306.61 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 7,667$3,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,483.32 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 7,629$4,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.67 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 5,301$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.56 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Houston Astros | 50c | 3,989$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Houston Astros | 52c | 3,784$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.44 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 3,667$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.5 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Houston Astros | 50c | 3,586$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 30c | 3,524$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.86 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Houston Astros | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Houston Astros | 1c | 3,250$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 3,000$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 2,999$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.28 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a23…4454backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 2,455$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.92 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 32c | 1,894$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.08 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.7wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Houston Astros | 58c | 1,711$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.28 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Houston Astros | 57c | 1,644$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.62 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 1,492$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.32 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 1,453$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.98 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Houston Astros | 1c | 1,450$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 1,142$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Houston Astros | 59c | 1,082$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.64 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 1,023$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.04 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 999.93$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.96 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Houston Astros | 28c | 991.75$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.84 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 962.35$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.78 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 27c | 882.68$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.41 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 809.66$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.18 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 776.94$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.34 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 775.92$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.65 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 769.89$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.04 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 760.86$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.3 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Houston Astros | 58c | 751.54$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.87 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Houston Astros | 31c | 725.81$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6a…e09bbacked Houston Astros | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 702.52$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.8 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Houston Astros | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Houston Astros | 59c | 621.49$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.59 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 619.5$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.48 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Houston Astros | 32c | 615.13$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.84 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 592.57$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.69 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 584$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.72 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Houston Astros | 3c | 581.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…38e7backed Houston Astros | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 570.59$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.12 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Houston Astros | 58c | 520$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 500.87$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.62 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Houston Astros | 25c | 498.55$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 479.1$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.21 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…0320backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 465.52$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 430$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.1 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 428.1$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.65 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 420$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 413.85$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.96 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 410.81$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.27 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 402.43$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.24 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 388$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.11 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 382.97$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.95 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 379$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.61 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edc…ea1dbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 359$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.42 | 378 | 68.8%260 W · 118 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Houston Astros | 20c | 357$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 351.72$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 349.96$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.23 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Houston Astros | 10c | 323.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +27.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 319.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 316.22$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.73 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8e…31dfbacked Houston Astros | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Houston Astros | 32c | 307.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…5f06backed Houston Astros | 51c | 278.84$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.21 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Houston Astros | 59c | 266.1$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7668…bc8fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 252.38$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.38 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Houston Astros | 36c | 247.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Houston Astros | 58c | 244.27$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…3c59backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 238$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.04 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5665…946ebacked Houston Astros | 59c | 234.87$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.