NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Thunder

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf45cf93cc0ec050c93f229ac92af11d91c77ffdd9937a21fb1df0e126e3268b2

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Mavericks, Thunder
Resolved: Dec 6, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,375,711
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,372,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,375,711 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9c16…09cbbacked Mavericks	11c	68,924$7,582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,581.69	132	48.5%64 W · 68 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Mavericks	15c	66,616$9,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,958.09	219	44.7%98 W · 121 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Mavericks	11c	49,180$5,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,409.76	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Mavericks	11c	46,217$5,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,190.04	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Mavericks	10c	40,000$4,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,099.96	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks	12c	39,329$4,891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,891.05	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Mavericks	11c	38,164$4,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,018.11	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks	11c	36,090$3,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,952.65	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Mavericks	12c	35,461$4,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,103	240	38.3%92 W · 148 L	-8.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Mavericks	12c	35,151$4,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,262.76	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe803…bd5cbacked Mavericks	0c	26,990$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76e7…51a4backed Mavericks	12c	22,941$2,841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,840.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x813e…5ed9backed Mavericks	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Mavericks	8c	19,758$1,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.43	279	17.9%50 W · 229 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mavericks	12c	18,470$2,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,175.38	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Mavericks	1c	16,857$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.5	679	11%75 W · 604 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cde…8833backed Mavericks	12c	16,000$1,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,975.93	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe54b…d268backed Mavericks	10c	15,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd9e…eddcbacked Mavericks	12c	14,451$1,734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,734.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Mavericks	11c	13,636$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	310	44.8%139 W · 171 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Mavericks	0c	12,650$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.9	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks	6c	11,125$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.99	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks	12c	10,600$1,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,241.5	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Mavericks	1c	10,100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	69	31.9%22 W · 47 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Mavericks	1c	10,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Mavericks	11c	10,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	76	40.8%31 W · 45 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Mavericks	11c	10,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	352	35.8%126 W · 226 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Mavericks	10c	9,725$973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$972.51	367	41.4%152 W · 215 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1460…d60bbacked Mavericks	1c	7,741$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	133	33.8%45 W · 88 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Mavericks	12c	7,167$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860	88	46.6%41 W · 47 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Mavericks	10c	6,663$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.31	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7481…279fbacked Mavericks	14c	6,471$883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$883.42	156	51.9%81 W · 75 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8111…38f0backed Mavericks	13c	6,157$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.36	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Mavericks	4c	6,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	475	35.8%170 W · 305 L	+41.1wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ca8…ddddbacked Mavericks	12c	5,846$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.49	278	46.8%130 W · 148 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa8…2e0dbacked Mavericks	12c	5,798$704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704.39	137	48.9%67 W · 70 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Mavericks	11c	5,555$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.05	768	50.3%386 W · 382 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Mavericks	3c	5,149$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.46	185	18.4%34 W · 151 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca70…6259backed Mavericks	12c	5,036$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$628.25	135	48.9%66 W · 69 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf940…3239backed Mavericks	0c	4,983$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Mavericks	13c	4,964$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.36	508	38.2%194 W · 314 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Mavericks	11c	4,881$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.96	251	46.2%116 W · 135 L	+9.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks	1c	4,856$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.56	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a0…8b5bbacked Mavericks	12c	4,389$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.2	165	50.3%83 W · 82 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe760…aadcbacked Mavericks	13c	4,279$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.64	152	48.7%74 W · 78 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c99…156dbacked Mavericks	2c	4,082$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x728f…b55dbacked Mavericks	5c	3,819$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.93	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf97a…30b7backed Mavericks	8c	3,667$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed Mavericks	11c	3,600$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.99	163	46.6%76 W · 87 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d2…4bcebacked Mavericks	9c	3,510$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.33	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Mavericks	3c	3,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	652	18.4%120 W · 532 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Mavericks	0c	3,314$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.64	878	3%26 W · 852 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-62%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Mavericks	11c	3,105$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.6	489	38.7%189 W · 300 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Mavericks	4c	3,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	306	19.9%61 W · 245 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0104…d33abacked Mavericks	1c	2,931$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Mavericks	1c	2,848$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.7	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Mavericks	11c	2,727$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Mavericks	11c	2,373$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261	84	38.1%32 W · 52 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Mavericks	11c	2,250$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.5	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x974a…ee7bbacked Mavericks	13c	2,002$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.26	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Mavericks	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b45…41e3backed Mavericks	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Mavericks	10c	1,953$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.82	400	35.5%142 W · 258 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mavericks	14c	1,952$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.33	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd35…66c2backed Mavericks	6c	1,900$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	183	17.5%32 W · 151 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Mavericks	14c	1,845$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	142	43%61 W · 81 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…837dbacked Mavericks	11c	1,818$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	146	39.7%58 W · 88 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x088d…fc77backed Mavericks	1c	1,800$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Mavericks	2c	1,720$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.08	667	32.4%216 W · 451 L	+41.8wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Mavericks	12c	1,667$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	174	41.4%72 W · 102 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Mavericks	11c	1,652$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.21	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x829f…ccfdbacked Mavericks	11c	1,626$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.07	173	53.8%93 W · 80 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6245…5f7ebacked Mavericks	13c	1,576$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.88	124	50%62 W · 62 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48f8…9166backed Mavericks	1c	1,521$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	171	45.6%78 W · 93 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…5a1ebacked Mavericks	12c	1,511$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.32	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Mavericks	11c	1,500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x646a…3dafbacked Mavericks	13c	1,360$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.8	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-6.5wins	-0.11per pick	60cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mavericks	12c	1,313$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.82	1,113	41.6%463 W · 650 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3366…e0d0backed Mavericks	11c	1,269$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.63	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x703a…e323backed Mavericks	5c	1,253$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.16per pick	11cpaid	+105.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97b6…33c7backed Mavericks	12c	1,250$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks	11c	1,164$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.78	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Mavericks	14c	1,131$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.38	246	34.6%85 W · 161 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Mavericks	13c	1,095$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.88	243	23.9%58 W · 185 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcad…c851backed Mavericks	5c	1,070$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.5	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Mavericks	13c	1,060$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.04	608	34.4%209 W · 399 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0679…e5aabacked Mavericks	12c	1,039$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.62	95	44.2%42 W · 53 L	+5.6wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c9…415dbacked Mavericks	11c	1,037$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.12	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	53cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Mavericks	8c	1,032$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.56	342	27.2%93 W · 249 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cca…6143backed Mavericks	12c	1,030$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	415	50.1%208 W · 207 L	+18.9wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc871…7d99backed Mavericks	10c	1,015$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	468	26.5%124 W · 344 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x590a…0a00backed Mavericks	11c	1,006$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.61	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Mavericks	10c	1,005$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.48	179	31.8%57 W · 122 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Mavericks	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	1,090	35.8%390 W · 700 L	+40.1wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Mavericks	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	250	16.8%42 W · 208 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Mavericks	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	133	45.9%61 W · 72 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked Mavericks	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	156	38.5%60 W · 96 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Mavericks	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	158	38.6%61 W · 97 L	-11.1wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…4b1fbacked Mavericks	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.26per pick	40cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mavericks vs. Thunderthis page
1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
Mavericks vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Mavericks vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Over won
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mavericks vs. Thunder

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event