NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a9b4039231cc5fcfe435c27fab28b3d5bb15ad9509a7192467e8493b7bebff9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $345,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $345,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Thunder | 51c | 152,764$77,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,475.91 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Mavericks | 50c | 83,868$41,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,600.42 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Thunder | 49c | 60,000$29,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,609.33 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Mavericks | 50c | 50,000$24,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,800 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 50c | 24,289$12,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,185.09 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks | 50c | 20,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Mavericks | 52c | 15,377$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Thunder | 48c | 15,058$7,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,829.98 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Mavericks | 50c | 13,423$6,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,711.36 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…1654backed Mavericks | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Thunder | 52c | 6,500$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Mavericks | 51c | 6,275$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Mavericks | 51c | 5,890$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.72 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Mavericks | 51c | 4,672$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.68 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Mavericks | 48c | 4,502$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.92 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Mavericks | 52c | 4,300$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…0336backed Mavericks | 51c | 4,292$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Mavericks | 49c | 4,120$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.8 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…514cbacked Mavericks | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Thunder | 49c | 3,816$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.2 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…67cabacked Mavericks | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks | 50c | 2,702$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.65 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Thunder | 49c | 2,497$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.45 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Thunder | 52c | 2,117$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.83 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Mavericks | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Mavericks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Mavericks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Mavericks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Thunder | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Thunder | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Mavericks | 51c | 1,924$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Mavericks | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,843$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Thunder | 2c | 1,729$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.99 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 51c | 1,710$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.1 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,530$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.59 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Thunder | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebf…e50fbacked Mavericks | 27c | 1,396$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.58 | 651 | 44.5%290 W · 361 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,314$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 47c | 1,282$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.68 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Thunder | 47c | 1,181$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.06 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…9235backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,017$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,012$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.6 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 48c | 967$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.16 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Thunder | 49c | 918.62$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.5 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Mavericks | 50c | 886.54$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.27 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Thunder | 49c | 785.76$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.01 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks | 51c | 739.2$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.97 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…09f7backed Mavericks | 51c | 733.25$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.96 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 8c | 703.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Mavericks | 28c | 599.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…d82bbacked Mavericks | 51c | 589.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…3f97backed Thunder | 54c | 584.08$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mavericks | 52c | 500$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Mavericks | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mavericks | 51c | 475.43$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.47 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…ea19backed Mavericks | 56c | 453.3$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Mavericks | 47c | 420.08$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.36 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mavericks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Mavericks | 40c | 392$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.08 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Mavericks | 52c | 383.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…3017backed Mavericks | 51c | 370.59$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Thunder | 58c | 332.34$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Thunder | 48c | 311.32$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Mavericks | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Mavericks | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Mavericks | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Mavericks | 55c | 263.64$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Thunder | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Mavericks | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mavericks | 51c | 220$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Mavericks | 47c | 213.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Mavericks | 53c | 208.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.59 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Thunder | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d3…02e4backed Mavericks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Mavericks | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Mavericks | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Thunder | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Mavericks | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Mavericks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…ee32backed Mavericks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Mavericks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Mavericks | 52c | 185.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Mavericks | 10c | 181.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Mavericks | 10c | 177.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Mavericks | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Thunder | 49c | 152.87$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Mavericks | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 473 | 59.2%280 W · 193 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Mavericks | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Mavericks | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Mavericks | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Mavericks | 52c | 136.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Mavericks | 52c | 130$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3f…5bc1backed Mavericks | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…7c42backed Mavericks | 50c | 116.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Mavericks vs. ThunderThunder won
- Mavericks vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Mavericks vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.