MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76bd053fe61653f71c3e443f753a85a6f9e8c0ca0fda395e71f7c00718c27dad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,200 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 20,294$11,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,968.12 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 15,995$7,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,517.64 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 15,841$9,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,603.4 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 8,747$4,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,024.2 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…7720backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 8,398$3,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,863.25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 8,249$3,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,646.14 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 12c | 7,952$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.17 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 6,882$3,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 6,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.99 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 5,320$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.37 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 4,789$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.54 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 4,747$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.34 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.98 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a23…4454backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.98 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Texas Rangers | 0c | 3,278$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 2,913$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.42 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Texas Rangers | 5c | 2,700$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 2,629$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.47 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 2,241$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.86 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 1,821$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.87 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 1,799$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.7 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 1,718$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.38 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 1,684$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.64 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Texas Rangers | 18c | 1,444$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 1,091$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.63 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Texas Rangers | 1c | 1,060$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +27.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e89…89cebacked Texas Rangers | 13c | 910$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 905.66$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.66 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 849.06$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.06 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 829.27$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.05 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers | 20c | 762.17$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.34 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Texas Rangers | 31c | 751.46$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.54 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 742.55$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.55 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Texas Rangers | 3c | 599$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers | 2c | 599$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…5af9backed Texas Rangers | 10c | 573.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 560$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 550$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 476$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.48 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Texas Rangers | 14c | 428.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Texas Rangers | 24c | 399.52$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 380$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…23fbbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 362.96$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 354$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Texas Rangers | 4c | 291.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fd…842dbacked Minnesota Twins | 78c | 288.5$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…9ea9backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 238.05$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.07 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 213$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Texas Rangers | 26c | 198.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 195.48$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 192.45$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1d27backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 184.79$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 183.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Minnesota Twins | 77c | 173.3$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 170$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…7f58backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 149.06$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Texas Rangers | 8c | 136.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 135.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…6520backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 120$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb4…a467backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 117.61$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0857…1d95backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 115.06$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Texas Rangers | 12c | 112.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 110.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3c…857bbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 107.7$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 106.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…968dbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…2f69backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 104.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Texas Rangers | 11c | 104$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7e…72b9backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 100.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Texas Rangers | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed Texas Rangers | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 85.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-4.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.