MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3945ade440216f0a95cd1bd38792c96549d8bdb90ea9e5e2cf70db9fdee44d66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $734,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $722,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $734,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 150,051$78,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,025.79 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,999.9 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 84,936$44,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,166.94 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 32,015$15,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,647.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 22,497$13,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,330.98 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 21,682$11,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,567.4 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 18,200$8,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,678 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 16,084$7,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,329.41 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 15,590$7,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,418.6 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Boston Red Sox | 68c | 15,159$10,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850.75 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 15,013$9,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,784.03 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,099.98 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 14,956$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 14,339$7,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,313.06 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 13,349$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 13,307$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 11,758$4,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,530.66 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d97…f263backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 11,070$4,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,153.37 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 23c | 8,665$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.77 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…7720backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 5,485$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.27 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…fb0fbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 4,994$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 4,809$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.38 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Seattle Mariners | 0c | 3,923$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 36c | 3,859$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.46 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 3,789$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.71 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 3,528$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.66 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Mariners | 35c | 3,499$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.98 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 74c | 3,226$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.47 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 3,005$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.55 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35d…102abacked Seattle Mariners | 20c | 2,835$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 2,684$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.79 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 2,593$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.24 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 2,577$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.21 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 2,527$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.27 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 2,307$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.65 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 2,167$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 2,129$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.02 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 2,012$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.54 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.02 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…6580backed Seattle Mariners | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 530 | 55.8%296 W · 234 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 1,997$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.58 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.99 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Boston Red Sox | 67c | 1,859$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.71 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,841$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.48 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 1,818$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.69 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,721$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.47 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Seattle Mariners | 37c | 1,669$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.37 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,603$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.57 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 1,567$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,508$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.74 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,464$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.24 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edc…ea1dbacked Seattle Mariners | 18c | 1,310$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 1,277$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.32 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 1,267$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Boston Red Sox | 79c | 1,248$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.1 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 1,212$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Seattle Mariners | 32c | 1,211$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.14 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Seattle Mariners | 41c | 1,199$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.66 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe69d…dfa0backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 1,175$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.18 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Seattle Mariners | 3c | 1,150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,136$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.26 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,109$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.86 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d0…6219backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,093$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.96 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 1,077$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.67 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b90…5fb9backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 1,015$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 1,013$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.82 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 1,000$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.09 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Seattle Mariners | 35c | 925.71$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 918.18$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Seattle Mariners | 3c | 900$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Seattle Mariners | 36c | 900$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 9c | 892.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 18c | 867.21$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.03 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 835.36$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.74 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Seattle Mariners | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 799.45$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.72 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Seattle Mariners | 3c | 798.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 785.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Seattle Mariners | 21c | 727.17$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 705.88$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Seattle Mariners | 26c | 701.31$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.27 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…2e67backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Seattle Mariners | 4c | 650.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.