TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Seattle Mariners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$734,063
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$722,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $734,063 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Seattle Mariners52c150,051$78,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,025.791,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Boston Red Sox48c100,000$48,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,999.950153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Seattle Mariners52c84,936$44,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,166.9444851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Boston Red Sox48c32,015$15,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,647.761233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox59c22,497$13,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,330.982,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox51c21,682$11,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,567.410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Boston Red Sox47c18,200$8,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,6788943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox48c16,084$7,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,329.413,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Boston Red Sox46c15,590$7,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,418.692054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Boston Red Sox68c15,159$10,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,850.7518860.1%113 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+237.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Boston Red Sox61c15,013$9,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,784.031,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners54c15,000$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,099.9877053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners52c14,956$7,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7771,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Boston Red Sox49c14,339$7,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,313.0647953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Seattle Mariners51c13,349$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,75043554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Seattle Mariners1c13,307$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7940629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners39c11,758$4,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,530.664,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d97…f263backed Seattle Mariners38c11,070$4,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,153.371747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+56.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Seattle Mariners45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5006152.5%32 W · 29 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Seattle Mariners52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2008447.6%40 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Seattle Mariners51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1005743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners23c8,665$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.7711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e05…7720backed Boston Red Sox46c5,485$2,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,977.272552%13 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Seattle Mariners54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7001,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78c5…fb0fbacked Seattle Mariners51c4,994$2,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,546.992744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Boston Red Sox61c4,809$2,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,896.3895045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Boston Red Sox46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16024651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Boston Red Sox48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08044749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Seattle Mariners0c3,923$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.848762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners36c3,859$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.468,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox48c3,789$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.716,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Boston Red Sox62c3,528$2,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.6685645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Mariners35c3,499$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.984,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox74c3,226$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.4712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners52c3,005$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.552,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35d…102abacked Seattle Mariners20c2,835$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.611650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners52c2,684$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.799,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Boston Red Sox59c2,593$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.241,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners40c2,577$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.212,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox55c2,527$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.272,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox48c2,307$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.651,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Seattle Mariners39c2,167$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85022257.2%127 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Seattle Mariners51c2,129$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.0289153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox64c2,012$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.548,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.025,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fe3…6580backed Seattle Mariners3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6053055.8%296 W · 234 L+16.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf19…ca28backed Boston Red Sox52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9602352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Boston Red Sox44c1,997$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.5837032.7%121 W · 249 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Seattle Mariners55c1,900$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.9932850.3%165 W · 163 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Boston Red Sox67c1,859$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.7171850.1%360 W · 358 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Boston Red Sox57c1,841$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.4891252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Boston Red Sox63c1,818$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.6911446.5%53 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Mariners54c1,721$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.472,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Seattle Mariners37c1,669$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.374759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Boston Red Sox48c1,667$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.841,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Boston Red Sox50c1,603$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.576749.3%33 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Seattle Mariners45c1,567$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70517951.4%92 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners49c1,508$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.744,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Boston Red Sox46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81086653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ab…0d2dbacked Seattle Mariners51c1,471$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75011255.4%62 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners51c1,464$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.241,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edc…ea1dbacked Seattle Mariners18c1,310$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+77.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox61c1,277$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.324,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Seattle Mariners2c1,267$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.241,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Boston Red Sox79c1,248$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.115851.9%82 W · 76 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Seattle Mariners1c1,212$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Seattle Mariners32c1,211$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.146046.7%28 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Seattle Mariners41c1,199$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.6614050.7%71 W · 69 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe69d…dfa0backed Seattle Mariners51c1,176$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox47c1,175$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.181,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Seattle Mariners3c1,150$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.226618.4%49 W · 217 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Seattle Mariners54c1,136$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.2632251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Boston Red Sox46c1,109$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.8644945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d0…6219backed Boston Red Sox46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5941947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Boston Red Sox46c1,093$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.9636048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Boston Red Sox48c1,077$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.6751545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b90…5fb9backed Seattle Mariners39c1,015$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked Boston Red Sox63c1,013$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.823948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Boston Red Sox48c1,000$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.0985952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Boston Red Sox48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52023758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1be…d4acbacked Seattle Mariners54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5408446.4%39 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x085c…99e3backed Seattle Mariners53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53024448.4%118 W · 126 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Boston Red Sox52c999.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48019566.2%129 W · 66 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Seattle Mariners35c925.71$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32411129.7%33 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Seattle Mariners55c918.18$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Seattle Mariners3c900$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.917417.2%30 W · 144 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Seattle Mariners36c900$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32433864.2%217 W · 121 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners9c892.89$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.954,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners18c867.21$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.038,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Seattle Mariners53c835.36$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.749652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Seattle Mariners36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30039739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Seattle Mariners51c799.45$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.7220945%94 W · 115 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Seattle Mariners3c798.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.855852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0f…a4e7backed Seattle Mariners2c785.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.634214.3%6 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-68.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed Seattle Mariners21c727.17$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1568125.9%21 W · 60 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Seattle Mariners51c705.88$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36094549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Seattle Mariners26c701.31$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.271,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa689…15fcbacked Boston Red Sox46c700$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37824346.9%114 W · 129 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ff7…2e67backed Seattle Mariners52c673.08$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5400…8a89backed Seattle Mariners4c650.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25681.5%1 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-81.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.