TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Lakers, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,340
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,340 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd36…a8acbacked Lakers46c58,529$27,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,135.5118151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed 76ers53c42,030$22,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,785.352,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Lakers51c22,533$11,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers50c17,559$8,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,698.279,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed 76ers49c10,608$5,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,36874748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers44c8,675$3,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,859.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Lakers43c8,225$3,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,536.5420542.9%88 W · 117 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed 76ers52c7,000$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,339.991,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 76ers58c4,280$2,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.522,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers47c3,842$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.122,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed 76ers54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.71,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked 76ers49c3,432$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.4187144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Lakers47c3,333$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.5128850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61a5…40dabacked Lakers49c3,266$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.51771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked 76ers50c3,149$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.576943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed 76ers56c2,622$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.221,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed 76ers67c2,541$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.52,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed 76ers52c2,354$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.9247751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed 76ers52c2,021$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.8151753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Lakers52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04013355.6%74 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers49c1,839$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.842,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers50c1,528$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.694,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Lakers51c1,402$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.0369852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers47c1,327$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.963,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d5…05acbacked Lakers29c1,289$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed 76ers60c1,212$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.8218554.1%100 W · 85 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked 76ers53c1,189$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.831,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed 76ers52c1,100$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5282,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed 76ers56c1,068$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.8624051.3%123 W · 117 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Lakers51c1,050$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.332,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked 76ers53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Lakers52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…1ed3backed Lakers43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4304647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Lakers45c920$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.611834.7%41 W · 77 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked 76ers55c903.47$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.4746258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596b…6c22backed Lakers50c820$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ed…7971backed Lakers50c720$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked 76ers49c711.84$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.3226336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed 76ers52c700$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33673649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed 76ers52c700$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33649142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdd…1d43backed 76ers51c680$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc213…80f7backed Lakers47c639$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.331540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Lakers45c599.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2707741.6%32 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lakers48c583$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.841,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b04…7377backed 76ers54c544.79$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.61353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed 76ers56c512$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.282,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2286…3ccfbacked 76ers52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2404854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed 76ers57c499$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4621055.2%116 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers48c495$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Lakers48c486.16$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.52,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed 76ers52c480.75$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.763562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf5d…7253backed Lakers44c473.8$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.4711242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd24e…f8e1backed Lakers32c407.8$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.042951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed 76ers50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20056348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Lakers49c383.17$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.758247.6%39 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lakers43c372.24$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.065,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7615…d605backed 76ers55c365.07$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Lakers48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x440d…e9f3backed 76ers51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1471353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed 76ers67c286.64$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5948347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked 76ers49c277.33$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.195049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e84…768ebacked Lakers50c256$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12813644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17e7…85a1backed 76ers54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11519556.9%111 W · 84 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Lakers51c230$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.323948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Lakers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Lakers50c210$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10529346.4%136 W · 157 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Lakers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed 76ers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Lakers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Lakers52c192.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f40…92b2backed 76ers50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Lakers43c176$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.681,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers44c174.33$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.713,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0539…0529backed Lakers49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.51936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed 76ers51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2581845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed 76ers55c137$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6561747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe35e…7754backed Lakers55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Lakers51c119.31$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8536842.4%156 W · 212 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed 76ers55c113.48$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2552643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Lakers49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4954951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked 76ers47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5380744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed 76ers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4990957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Lakers49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4965855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Lakers44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4463427.3%173 W · 461 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked 76ers56c93.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.361,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…5c00backed Lakers47c85.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.249051.1%46 W · 44 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Lakers50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked 76ers51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4348451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed 76ers50c70.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5576247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8e7…2b53backed 76ers66c62.35$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.461145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Lakers49c61.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.083,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7ce…14b4backed Lakers49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012157%69 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Lakers51c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.331,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Lakers47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2593036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67aa…cc4dbacked Lakers39c51.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed Lakers43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.513338.3%51 W · 82 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Lakers50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2538845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7543…1852backed Lakers49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers44c46.66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.533,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be8…f449backed Lakers46c43.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209644.8%43 W · 53 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.