TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 43.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,994
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,577

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,994 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c4,546$2,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,314.0573651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Over51c3,992$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.3525744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c3,323$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.381,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over56c2,207$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.545855.2%32 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Over55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008461.9%52 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Over55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Under44c1,695$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.449754.6%53 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Under46c999.98$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9914837.2%55 W · 93 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Under46c999$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.4614641.8%61 W · 85 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under47c918$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.3353348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over56c579.4$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.4615851.9%82 W · 76 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Under64c533.23$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.118350.6%42 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ba…3061backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Over52c499.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9919543.6%85 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over54c493$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.2275852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under65c450$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.57850%39 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under48c415.6$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.115860.3%35 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over35c399$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1860049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Over42c376.44$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.243030%9 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-42.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c351.98$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0850242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Over54c313.29$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.1715446.8%72 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under44c283$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.4826649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.511946.2%55 W · 64 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd6…6202backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.776737.3%25 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under65c200$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7164747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x413d…0db8backed Under45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over53c191.26$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.372740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Under44c191$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.961643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under47c188.16$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0134652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under44c174$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.441747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under57c161.65$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1812748%61 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe64…873ebacked Over52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under46c129$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2716349.7%81 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.810155.4%56 W · 45 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe832…7abbbacked Over51c116.47$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.44257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under62c105$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.614844.6%66 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa224…4cb8backed Under66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95bc…9f00backed Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2712945%58 W · 71 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over52c98.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1786547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505335.8%19 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Under44c88$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.282564%16 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+36.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under48c86.31$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1634247.4%162 W · 180 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under64c82.25$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.944944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3620…2e6cbacked Over54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over28c72.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1229439.5%116 W · 178 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over18c71.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8332043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Under44c67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under46c66.63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9853253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf244…d2adbacked Over26c65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over55c64.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2914151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.413357.1%76 W · 57 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.412458.1%72 W · 52 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under44c59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.041050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c58.06$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7739447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016940.8%69 W · 100 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under43c56.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.41,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x036a…4c9abacked Over52c55.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58ab…9450backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under65c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5515352.3%80 W · 73 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.524352.7%128 W · 115 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc518…bdecbacked Over56c45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed Over56c44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-51.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Over56c43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84fb…44f3backed Over56c42.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6e9…6613backed Over56c42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Over55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.19456.4%53 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe105…8a2dbacked Over56c38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.281540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0881…0fd1backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under74c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0168446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Under44c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+42.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50ad…2c48backed Over56c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.650%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51bd…bc56backed Over56c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.04560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6e…148bbacked Over56c32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.92520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x279b…7d84backed Over56c32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.921154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over53c28.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9614952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9431…6270backed Over56c28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.68944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Under44c28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.681450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…592bbacked Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153141.9%13 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x480a…e3c9backed Over56c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.12922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.35per pick57cpaid-62.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x597f…e9cfbacked Over56c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over54c25.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1419954.8%109 W · 90 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50b1…9a67backed Over53c24.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4182…ae54backed Over56c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f1a…ad50backed Over56c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.881050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a59…e94cbacked Under70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.436550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46ed…cfa6backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1012250%61 W · 61 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c36…2209backed Over54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+25.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed Over56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6dd…0accbacked Over57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45957.6%34 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Under78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.42373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc789…3907backed Over56c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.64616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8956…9e83backed Under67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.981428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-54.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.