NFL · resolved market
Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 43.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf99b6e3e5938e251c7400dcfb1845860238c96a7d4a94e140365828e73b71d93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 4,546$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.05 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 51c | 3,992$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.35 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 3,323$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.38 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 56c | 2,207$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.54 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Under | 44c | 1,695$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.44 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Under | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 46c | 999$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.46 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 47c | 918$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.33 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 56c | 579.4$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.46 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Under | 64c | 533.23$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.11 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…3061backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Over | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 54c | 493$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.22 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 65c | 450$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 48c | 415.6$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.11 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 35c | 399$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.18 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Over | 42c | 376.44$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 351.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.08 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 54c | 313.29$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.17 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 283$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.48 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…6202backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 65c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…0db8backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 53c | 191.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 44c | 191$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 47c | 188.16$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.01 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 44c | 174$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 57c | 161.65$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…873ebacked Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 46c | 129$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Over | 51c | 116.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 62c | 105$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa224…4cb8backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…9f00backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 52c | 98.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 44c | 88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 48c | 86.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 64c | 82.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3620…2e6cbacked Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 28c | 72.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 18c | 71.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 44c | 67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 46c | 66.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…d2adbacked Over | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 55c | 64.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under | 44c | 59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 58.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 40.8%69 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 43c | 56.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036a…4c9abacked Over | 52c | 55.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ab…9450backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Over | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Over | 56c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Over | 56c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…44f3backed Over | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Over | 56c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 56c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0881…0fd1backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Over | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Over | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Over | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Over | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 53c | 28.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Over | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…9a67backed Over | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Over | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Over | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a59…e94cbacked Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…cfa6backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…2209backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…0accbacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Over | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…9e83backed Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 43.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bills (-0.5)Eagles won
- Eagles vs. BillsEagles won
- Eagles vs. Bills: 1H MoneylineEagles won
- Eagles vs. Bills: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 34.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 37.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 44.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 45.5Under won
- Spread: Bills (-1.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Bills (-2.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Bills (-3.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Eagles (-6.5)Bills won
- Spread: Eagles (-7.5)Bills won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.