NFL · resolved market

Spread: Bills (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44529f1f881f851c46e576502e80de523df19d6d035f02ac34c644c5b05e77f8

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Eaglesof Bills, Eagles
Resolved: Dec 28, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $36,632
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $37,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,632 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bills	52c	7,329$3,811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,811.17	513	52.2%268 W · 245 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bills	52c	6,519$3,390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,390.01	544	51.7%281 W · 263 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Eagles	48c	4,012$1,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,089.92	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1de3…0321backed Bills	50c	2,999$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.5	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed30…f821backed Eagles	50c	2,980$1,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,490	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+57.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdc…2454backed Bills	51c	2,514$1,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,282.14	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee9f…b134backed Eagles	49c	2,514$1,232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,282.14	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Eagles	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Eagles	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300	196	51.5%101 W · 95 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Bills	51c	2,441$1,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,244.76	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Eagles	49c	2,391$1,171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,219.26	394	47.7%188 W · 206 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Eagles	47c	2,334$1,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,235.16	650	48.3%314 W · 336 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Eagles	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.08	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Bills	50c	1,344$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.81	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9e…0262backed Eagles	49c	1,333$653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$679.98	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Eagles	47c	1,000$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530	148	37.2%55 W · 93 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Eagles	49c	851.25$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.6	363	41.9%152 W · 211 L	-13.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Eagles	50c	672$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Bills	50c	671$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.66	865	47.9%414 W · 451 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Eagles	48c	560.42$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.42	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Eagles	48c	416.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.67	204	43.6%89 W · 115 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Eagles	48c	358$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.16	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e57…21cbbacked Eagles	46c	326.09$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.09	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdba…b26abacked Bills	51c	274.51$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6b9…a373backed Eagles	42c	266.67$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.67	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2513…91fbbacked Bills	51c	264.84$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.07	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef4…6c83backed Eagles	46c	250$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	93	58.1%54 W · 39 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked Bills	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	138	45.7%63 W · 75 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6941…efd5backed Eagles	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	132	53%70 W · 62 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Eagles	46c	172.35$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.35	112	60.7%68 W · 44 L	+10.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Eagles	42c	143$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.94	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Eagles	42c	130$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.4	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Eagles	42c	123$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.34	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Eagles	50c	121.2$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.87	346	52.9%183 W · 163 L	+16.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Eagles	41c	116$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.44	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Eagles	47c	106.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.38	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Eagles	47c	106$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.18	96	54.2%52 W · 44 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b79…3c8cbacked Bills	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	128	43%55 W · 73 L	-8.4wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Eagles	49c	99.99$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	77	50.6%39 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Eagles	42c	97$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.26	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f41…5cb3backed Eagles	42c	97$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.26	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+4.1wins	+0.29per pick	49cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Bills	54c	96.01$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.85	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+5.5wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Eagles	42c	94$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.52	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.18per pick	47cpaid	+46.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Eagles	42c	93$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.94	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Eagles	41c	85$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.15	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1847…460fbacked Bills	59c	84.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	31cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Eagles	41c	82$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.38	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Eagles	41c	75$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.25	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Eagles	42c	69$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.02	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Eagles	42c	67$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.86	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Eagles	48c	60$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	138	44.9%62 W · 76 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Eagles	46c	60$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	133	57.1%76 W · 57 L	+9.2wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Eagles	46c	60$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	114	63.2%72 W · 42 L	+14.5wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Eagles	42c	60$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.8	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.21per pick	52cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Eagles	46c	60$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	108	64.8%70 W · 38 L	+15.5wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Eagles	47c	60$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.8	112	53.6%60 W · 52 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd854…924fbacked Eagles	43c	58$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.06	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0dd…1417backed Eagles	44c	56.82$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.82	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Eagles	42c	55$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.9	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d6e…148bbacked Bills	58c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ba8…bc05backed Eagles	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.5wins	+0.20per pick	50cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeff8…1bcfbacked Eagles	42c	50$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d7…f2d1backed Bills	59c	46$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.14	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…de52backed Bills	59c	46$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.14	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.15per pick	58cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Bills	51c	45.5$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.21	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09db…7384backed Bills	59c	44$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.96	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3add…e482backed Bills	58c	41$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.78	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe622…18cabacked Eagles	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3517…9f8dbacked Bills	59c	39$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.01	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	61cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed Bills	58c	39$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.62	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.25per pick	55cpaid	+49.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x684b…47edbacked Bills	58c	39$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.62	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e26…c672backed Bills	58c	38$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.04	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.26per pick	55cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fe9…a400backed Bills	58c	38$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.04	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a7c…1214backed Bills	58c	36$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.99	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed Bills	58c	36$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.88	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	64cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x597f…e9cfbacked Bills	58c	35$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72e4…0369backed Eagles	47c	33.86$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.95	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+2.6wins	+0.18per pick	36cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Bills	54c	31.48$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	199	54.8%109 W · 90 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Eagles	48c	31.25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	40	62.5%25 W · 15 L	+5.0wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d19…0b39backed Bills	58c	31$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.98	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e48…c958backed Bills	58c	31$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.98	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Bills	58c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	57cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Eagles	49c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	127	56.7%72 W · 55 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Eagles	44c	29.68$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.62	66	63.6%42 W · 24 L	+9.7wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xabb7…7959backed Bills	58c	29$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.82	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d89…87b0backed Bills	58c	29$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.82	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ada…b8a0backed Bills	52c	28.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	68	50%34 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbba…e95bbacked Bills	58c	28$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.24	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Bills	58c	28$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.24	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2061…1ed1backed Bills	58c	27$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.66	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11a4…bbe8backed Bills	58c	27$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.66	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.35per pick	55cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5df7…a8edbacked Bills	58c	25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Bills	59c	24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.16	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.39per pick	56cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Bills	58c	24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.92	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.31per pick	55cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ab0…8383backed Bills	59c	24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.16	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked Bills	58c	24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.92	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	55cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Eagles	44c	23.75$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.3	169	57.4%97 W · 72 L	+15.7wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7773…f936backed Bills	59c	23$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.57	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.25per pick	59cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa305…73c9backed Bills	58c	23$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.34	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb75…bc16backed Bills	59c	22$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.98	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+2.6wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+44.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Bills (-1.5)this page
1H Spread: Bills (-0.5)Eagles won
Eagles vs. BillsEagles won
Eagles vs. Bills: 1H MoneylineEagles won
Eagles vs. Bills: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 34.5Under won
Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 37.5Under won
Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 43.5Under won
Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 44.5Under won
Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 45.5Under won
Spread: Bills (-2.5)Eagles won
Spread: Bills (-3.5)Eagles won
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)Bills won
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)Bills won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Bills (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event