NFL · resolved market
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6707a894d6e7e8011351e7e22ac74528385d67228ccd7c24073856c5886c992
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eaglesof Bills, Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Eagles | 45c | 11,115$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,114.52 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Eagles | 44c | 10,080$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,640 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…96b0backed Eagles | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bills | 47c | 9,659$4,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,574.32 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bills | 56c | 8,067$4,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,505.01 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bills | 53c | 4,364$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.18 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bills | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bills | 46c | 3,800$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.98 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bills | 54c | 3,681$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.22 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Eagles | 43c | 2,300$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Eagles | 48c | 2,216$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.76 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Bills | 56c | 2,150$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Eagles | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bills | 57c | 1,859$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.7 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0b5fbacked Bills | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bills | 55c | 1,707$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.14 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Eagles | 44c | 1,545$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.23 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eagles | 54c | 1,096$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.62 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Bills | 57c | 1,088$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.16 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…d693backed Eagles | 44c | 1,038$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.36 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…59fabacked Bills | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Bills | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.5 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Bills | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Bills | 56c | 853.99$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.24 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Eagles | 44c | 785.69$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Eagles | 44c | 750$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Eagles | 44c | 749.98$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Eagles | 46c | 659.96$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.38 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed Eagles | 53c | 477.83$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Bills | 50c | 460$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.52 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bills | 47c | 452.83$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.83 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Eagles | 51c | 408$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.92 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Bills | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Eagles | 45c | 375$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.25 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Bills | 56c | 343$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Bills | 57c | 320$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Eagles | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Bills | 57c | 290$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.3 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Bills | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Eagles | 50c | 258.05$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Bills | 53c | 236.17$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bills | 57c | 212$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Eagles | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…c9edbacked Bills | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Eagles | 47c | 180.81$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Eagles | 56c | 179.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.02 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…e775backed Bills | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Bills | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…bd9cbacked Bills | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Eagles | 45c | 168.31$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.57 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Eagles | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…37f4backed Eagles | 55c | 132.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Eagles | 44c | 123$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fadabacked Eagles | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Eagles | 45c | 118$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Eagles | 44c | 110$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed Bills | 47c | 104.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8f…d7e3backed Bills | 48c | 102.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Bills | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…9f00backed Bills | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Bills | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6892…5b42backed Eagles | 46c | 98.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Bills | 43c | 91.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Bills | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Eagles | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Eagles | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x575b…14f0backed Eagles | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Eagles | 44c | 63.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Eagles | 52c | 60.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Eagles | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Eagles | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +14.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Eagles | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Eagles | 45c | 59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Bills | 56c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Eagles | 45c | 54.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Eagles | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3381…52bcbacked Bills | 51c | 54.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Eagles | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc54d…cce3backed Bills | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Eagles | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Eagles | 44c | 47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Bills | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Bills | 55c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Bills | 51c | 41.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Eagles | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Bills | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Eagles | 44c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…6564backed Bills | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Eagles | 54c | 37.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6788…f69dbacked Bills | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Bills | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…89e4backed Bills | 56c | 34.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -59%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…9e83backed Eagles | 71c | 32.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Eagles | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Bills | 55c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Eagles | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Bills | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Eagles | 52c | 26.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Bills | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Bills | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bills (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bills (-0.5)Eagles won
- Eagles vs. BillsEagles won
- Eagles vs. Bills: 1H MoneylineEagles won
- Eagles vs. Bills: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 34.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 37.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 43.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 44.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 45.5Under won
- Spread: Bills (-1.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Bills (-3.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Eagles (-6.5)Bills won
- Spread: Eagles (-7.5)Bills won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.