TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
St. John's Red Stormof St. John's Red Storm, Seton Hall Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,546

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,546 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Seton Hall Pirates0c43,997$80 inLost-$79.9893447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Seton Hall Pirates52c2,000$1,040 inLost-$1,039.9927947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed St. John's Red Storm53c1,827$970 inWon+$856.5524351.4%125 W · 118 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed St. John's Red Storm48c1,743$833 inWon+$910.441,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Seton Hall Pirates54c1,689$904 inLost-$904.257251.4%37 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked St. John's Red Storm47c1,542$718 inWon+$824.2212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seton Hall Pirates47c1,010$475 inLost-$475.295,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Seton Hall Pirates51c817$420 inLost-$420.062,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed St. John's Red Storm49c663.31$324 inWon+$339.2119950.3%100 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked St. John's Red Storm47c573.58$270 inWon+$3042,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfaa…3858backed Seton Hall Pirates53c540.53$286 inLost-$286.484143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Seton Hall Pirates53c374.07$198 inLost-$198.2616253.1%86 W · 76 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8af9…c3e8backed Seton Hall Pirates50c332.15$167 inLost-$166.695358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d66…22d1backed St. John's Red Storm48c297.38$143 inWon+$154.647450%37 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Seton Hall Pirates46c250.49$116 inLost-$115.991,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed St. John's Red Storm48c247.82$119 inWon+$128.861,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked St. John's Red Storm48c206.51$99 inWon+$107.3983350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Seton Hall Pirates50c204.88$102 inLost-$102.4415858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc1b…0adebacked St. John's Red Storm50c198.25$99 inWon+$99.131861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked St. John's Red Storm48c195.67$94 inWon+$101.7531448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Seton Hall Pirates52c192.3$100 inLost-$10082846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed St. John's Red Storm48c165.21$79 inWon+$85.9112655.6%70 W · 56 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Seton Hall Pirates46c125.59$58 inLost-$57.7730054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Seton Hall Pirates51c98.03$50 inLost-$504,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed St. John's Red Storm49c76$37 inWon+$38.763,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0107…bce5backed St. John's Red Storm53c61.46$33 inWon+$28.89771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed St. John's Red Storm47c53.19$25 inWon+$28.1912054.2%65 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Seton Hall Pirates46c49.93$23 inLost-$22.972360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Seton Hall Pirates52c48.07$25 inLost-$256446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1736…32f1backed Seton Hall Pirates53c37.41$20 inLost-$19.834438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed St. John's Red Storm52c34.37$18 inWon+$16.529337.2%109 W · 184 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed St. John's Red Storm48c31.55$15 inWon+$16.5660954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked St. John's Red Storm48c30$14 inWon+$15.660551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4cb…a917backed Seton Hall Pirates53c28.06$15 inLost-$14.875139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Seton Hall Pirates51c23$12 inLost-$11.8430652%159 W · 147 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.