Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Seton Hall Pirates vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 134.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66b2384fd5e8dc8c7510677c76b465e122af4d12df993777fcc6b3282994ffc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,152 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e9…a60cbacked Under | 46c | 2,821$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 48c | 1,541$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.65 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 1,002$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.69 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 376.21$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Over | 55c | 347.95$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.68 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 46c | 258.6$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 47c | 211.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Over | 55c | 150.45$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 55c | 130.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 55c | 115.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 54c | 68.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 65.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 55c | 56.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Over | 55c | 54.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ac…b988backed Over | 55c | 54.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 46c | 43.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Over | 54c | 39.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…2e70backed Over | 55c | 32.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 54c | 28.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Over | 54c | 26.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 134.5this page
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. St. John's Red StormSt. John's Red Storm won
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 133.5Over won
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 135.5Over won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-7.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-8.5)St. John's Red Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.