College Football · resolved market
Spread: Ohio State (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a659eb91ee6ec01bea770a06f04f3494c7f2141ee45bfd9feec6a44b1390546
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio Stateof Ohio State, Michigan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,026,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,385,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,026,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Ohio State | 47c | 366,059$171,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194,150.37 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Michigan | 53c | 197,020$104,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,298.72 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Michigan | 53c | 157,574$83,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,590.19 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Ohio State | 47c | 62,576$29,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,165.05 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Michigan | 56c | 51,023$28,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,572.97 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Michigan | 53c | 31,219$16,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,546.07 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Michigan | 53c | 26,673$14,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,136.69 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Ohio State | 44c | 16,198$7,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,070.73 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ohio State | 44c | 14,968$6,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,382.03 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Michigan | 53c | 11,900$6,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,307 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471e…62f8backed Ohio State | 46c | 9,500$4,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fb…f961backed Michigan | 54c | 9,500$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,130 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Michigan | 53c | 8,927$4,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,731.17 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Michigan | 53c | 8,231$4,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,362.68 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Ohio State | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.99 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Michigan | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.99 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…286fbacked Michigan | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Michigan | 54c | 4,500$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Ohio State | 47c | 3,350$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.5 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Michigan | 53c | 3,346$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.23 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Ohio State | 47c | 2,895$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.35 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Ohio State | 56c | 2,580$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.9 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Michigan | 56c | 2,506$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.31 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ohio State | 43c | 2,408$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.48 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ohio State | 41c | 2,296$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.75 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Ohio State | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Michigan | 62c | 2,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Michigan | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ohio State | 44c | 1,925$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.5 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Michigan | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Michigan | 56c | 1,800$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.28 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Ohio State | 44c | 1,687$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.89 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Ohio State | 44c | 1,665$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.4 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…565dbacked Michigan | 61c | 1,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Ohio State | 47c | 1,324$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.83 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed Ohio State | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Michigan | 54c | 1,081$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ohio State | 47c | 1,014$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.09 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Ohio State | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Michigan | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Michigan | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Ohio State | 47c | 999.99$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.99 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Ohio State | 47c | 739.55$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.96 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Michigan | 58c | 719.94$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.57 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1d1dbacked Michigan | 54c | 594.11$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Ohio State | 57c | 528.66$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.73 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ohio State | 47c | 518$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.54 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…c0d6backed Michigan | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Michigan | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Ohio State | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ce…1817backed Ohio State | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…5ed7backed Michigan | 27c | 299.55$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Michigan | 54c | 292.59$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Ohio State | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Ohio State | 47c | 244$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.32 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Michigan | 49c | 230.4$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Ohio State | 47c | 215$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…8497backed Ohio State | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…c53cbacked Ohio State | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ohio State | 46c | 201$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.23 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Michigan | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…f7e0backed Ohio State | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Michigan | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Michigan | 23c | 174.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Michigan | 54c | 164.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Michigan | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Ohio State | 44c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Michigan | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Ohio State | 48c | 135.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…0adebacked Michigan | 55c | 127.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Michigan | 54c | 127.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a57…b7b5backed Ohio State | 37c | 120.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…023abacked Michigan | 44c | 115.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Michigan | 54c | 111.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Michigan | 54c | 106.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a2…36f2backed Michigan | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Ohio State | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…794fbacked Michigan | 61c | 94.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Michigan | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Michigan | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ohio State | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Michigan | 53c | 64.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Ohio State | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Ohio State | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0e…b74abacked Michigan | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Ohio State | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…c18dbacked Michigan | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99af…fedcbacked Michigan | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x436e…e36fbacked Michigan | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ed…cbbebacked Michigan | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Ohio State | 43c | 43.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…e4aabacked Ohio State | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf3…379bbacked Ohio State | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Michigan | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Michigan | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -6.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Michigan | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bf…cd13backed Ohio State | 47c | 33.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Ohio State | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Ohio State | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a2…0ff7backed Ohio State | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ohio State (-10.5)this page
- O/U 44.5Under won
- Ohio State vs. MichiganOhio State won
- Ohio State vs. Michigan: O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: Ohio State (-11.5)Ohio State won
- Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)Ohio State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.