College Football · resolved market
O/U 44.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e7c9d8dbdc991ad94d5abff7576aa046f8b9a992932e2e8e21feaa130532836
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 46c | 5,365$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.9 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 5,207$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.51 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 3,675$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.66 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x561f…a932backed Over | 49c | 3,265$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 51c | 3,189$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.46 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 55c | 2,317$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.08 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 1,782$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Under | 52c | 1,752$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.35 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 45c | 1,230$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.5 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Under | 55c | 636.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.56 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 45c | 550$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Over | 47c | 217.01$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 46c | 167$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 46c | 136.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Under | 46c | 74.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…c04bbacked Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 61.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…b91ebacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 44.5this page
- Ohio State vs. MichiganOhio State won
- Ohio State vs. Michigan: O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: Ohio State (-10.5)Ohio State won
- Spread: Ohio State (-11.5)Ohio State won
- Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)Ohio State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.