MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82840122ea40e8f3d204e15a97354fabff57520668762f48a13ec5cf57a86e2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Philadelphia Phillies, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $329,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $359,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 51,730$23,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,278.44 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets | 55c | 46,671$25,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,001.94 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 57c | 26,684$15,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,456.72 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Mets | 55c | 24,446$13,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000.7 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 15,969$7,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,345.64 | 238 | 54.6%130 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8a41backed New York Mets | 55c | 14,900$8,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,704.99 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 13,810$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 59c | 13,243$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,466.4 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 10,848$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 9,984$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,492.85 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 7,248$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,294.01 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 6,616$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977.29 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed New York Mets | 28c | 5,079$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,656.71 | 189 | 59.8%113 W · 76 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +236.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 52c | 4,989$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.89 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db5…cc23backed New York Mets | 55c | 4,727$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked New York Mets | 55c | 4,521$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.31 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 4,226$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.8 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 3,988$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.43 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 55c | 3,560$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 3,458$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.09 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 3,274$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.57 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Philadelphia Phillies | 5c | 2,557$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 2,355$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.47 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 2,048$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.88 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed New York Mets | 60c | 1,570$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.86 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 55c | 1,527$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.42 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 1,361$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.85 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 27c | 1,346$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.91 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed New York Mets | 55c | 1,333$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,174$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 23c | 1,134$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.85 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,106$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Mets | 54c | 1,035$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.09 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…c764backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,031$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.33 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked New York Mets | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 867.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 825.46$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.83 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets | 38c | 792.79$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.83 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 755.65$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.79 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 741.47$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.66 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 709.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.83 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed New York Mets | 55c | 685.02$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.26 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…04f6backed New York Mets | 34c | 653.47$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.43 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets | 54c | 591.98$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.31 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 590.91$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 277 | 57%158 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked New York Mets | 49c | 588.24$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.9 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 584.4$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.58 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 493.42$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked New York Mets | 57c | 492.89$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.02 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 480$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 467.75$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.21 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets | 75c | 459$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Mets | 31c | 449.55$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.5 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 445$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.25 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…6af5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…053abacked New York Mets | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed New York Mets | 55c | 399.96$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.98 | 354 | 49.2%174 W · 180 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…c7ebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 387.01$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.74 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e66…bbd2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 382.81$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.25 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 6c | 381.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 370$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 24c | 370$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 57c | 368.94$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.67 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 355$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 354.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.74 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 325$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 322.95$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.44 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed New York Mets | 37c | 318.76$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.82 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 310.92$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.31 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 310$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 307$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed New York Mets | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…1acfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 295.54$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 290$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 280.89$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.77 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets | 54c | 279.28$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 273.43$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 268.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 263.29$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.48 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 250$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 47.3%140 W · 156 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed New York Mets | 55c | 226.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked New York Mets | 55c | 224$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed New York Mets | 54c | 220.65$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 215.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed New York Mets | 51c | 215.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 213.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed New York Mets | 55c | 207.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.19 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 202.78$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 202$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked New York Mets | 54c | 200.12$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.06 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Metsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)New York Mets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.