TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Tatjana Maria

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hailey Baptisteof Hailey Baptiste, Tatjana Maria
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,716

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,716 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84dc…008ebacked Tatjana Maria6c9,727$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.612213.6%3 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Tatjana Maria1c4,701$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.042,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Tatjana Maria20c4,516$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.161,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Tatjana Maria3c4,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6161924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Hailey Baptiste80c4,334$3,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.7656757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab0…ddd0backed Hailey Baptiste79c2,752$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.317064.3%45 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Tatjana Maria6c2,516$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.212,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tatjana Maria30c1,346$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.617,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Tatjana Maria22c1,159$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.466,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Tatjana Maria19c1,133$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9814225.4%36 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c32…d322backed Hailey Baptiste80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20012066.7%80 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Tatjana Maria20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Tatjana Maria42c685.07$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.3918156.9%103 W · 78 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Hailey Baptiste60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.1570652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Tatjana Maria29c515.93$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.134,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed Hailey Baptiste49c506.51$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.516753.7%36 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Tatjana Maria21c489.14$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.721,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Hailey Baptiste60c465.08$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.0868350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tatjana Maria34c451.41$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.862,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Hailey Baptiste80c372.18$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2829461.9%182 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Tatjana Maria19c350.55$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.629636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b61…b7eabacked Hailey Baptiste80c350$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Tatjana Maria19c340.04$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2646932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Tatjana Maria21c331$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.871,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Hailey Baptiste58c330$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.64057.5%23 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Hailey Baptiste58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0570465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Hailey Baptiste68c250$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f15…650dbacked Hailey Baptiste80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015762.4%98 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Hailey Baptiste80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5047946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Tatjana Maria44c243.48$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.512,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Hailey Baptiste71c226.71$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.139,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Tatjana Maria43c209.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.986835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Tatjana Maria52c201.72$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8960943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Tatjana Maria19c194$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.867427%20 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Tatjana Maria20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Tatjana Maria37c129.73$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hailey Baptiste80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2548043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Hailey Baptiste78c125$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.530452%158 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Hailey Baptiste79c120$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked Tatjana Maria25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017051.8%88 W · 82 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Hailey Baptiste74c118.92$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.921,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Hailey Baptiste78c112$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.643,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Hailey Baptiste75c111$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1826941.3%111 W · 158 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Hailey Baptiste78c101.28$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2820664.1%132 W · 74 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Hailey Baptiste80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2021072.4%152 W · 58 L+0.8wins0.00per pick72cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6040…33a9backed Tatjana Maria19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Hailey Baptiste51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499833.7%33 W · 65 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Tatjana Maria22c99.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4914746.3%68 W · 79 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Tatjana Maria24c96.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.183,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Hailey Baptiste78c90$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.889364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Tatjana Maria13c80.12$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.051,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Tatjana Maria20c79.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.85651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Hailey Baptiste78c77.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1460856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Tatjana Maria20c72.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.461,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb5e…e0f7backed Hailey Baptiste52c71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0827552%143 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hailey Baptiste78c68.18$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x757e…8128backed Tatjana Maria22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Hailey Baptiste80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3b1…315abacked Tatjana Maria22c58.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.891540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Tatjana Maria53c57.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6942358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hailey Baptiste78c57.82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.721,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Tatjana Maria18c57.17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.066,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Hailey Baptiste68c56.23$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9134950.4%176 W · 173 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Tatjana Maria21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.542353.7%227 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Hailey Baptiste57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.524055%132 W · 108 L-15.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x612e…8427backed Tatjana Maria20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Tatjana Maria22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.839842.2%168 W · 230 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd714…8240backed Hailey Baptiste57c48.72$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.722740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Hailey Baptiste79c46$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.667,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc274…86debacked Hailey Baptiste55c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3449342.8%211 W · 282 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1951…7542backed Hailey Baptiste79c43.89$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.227566.7%50 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Hailey Baptiste68c43.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1212765.4%83 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1911…ebf8backed Tatjana Maria47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Tatjana Maria42c39.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.342,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Hailey Baptiste69c37.68$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6823249.1%114 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e5…485abacked Hailey Baptiste58c32.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Hailey Baptiste80c29.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9423750.6%120 W · 117 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Hailey Baptiste52c29.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.191,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Hailey Baptiste79c29.12$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.121,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x268e…bb7fbacked Hailey Baptiste80c27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Hailey Baptiste79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3254050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Hailey Baptiste76c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Hailey Baptiste57c20.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0436333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x025f…25cfbacked Hailey Baptiste79c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.944077.5%31 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb82a…ef47backed Hailey Baptiste79c13.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.811464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2280…3780backed Hailey Baptiste80c13.23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.6515163.6%96 W · 55 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a40…281ebacked Hailey Baptiste80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51353.8%7 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick72cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x076f…dc12backed Hailey Baptiste80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.53764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62f0…d71ebacked Hailey Baptiste80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0a9…a428backed Hailey Baptiste80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.54669.6%32 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f0…8b02backed Hailey Baptiste80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52842.9%12 W · 16 L-6.9wins-0.25per pick67cpaid-34.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.