MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79756274baf81604c25d653089dbc5e69f7e2333ed81ddab65bd5b89cca70dbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,520 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 14,135$8,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,576.4 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 4,714$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.02 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 4,645$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.48 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 3,187$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.67 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 3,151$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.74 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 2,102$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.64 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 1,717$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.34 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8d…150bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 1,454$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 1,129$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.92 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 1,060$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.4 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 821.69$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.45 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 807.37$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.21 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 800$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 674.24$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.91 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 649.5$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.29 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 634.06$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.12 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 530$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.2 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 503.69$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.95 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 502$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.08 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…4925backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51bc…f2fabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 11c | 483.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 453.33$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.74 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…bb7fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 438.29$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 433.47$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.39 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 427.79$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.95 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 420$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.27 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 299.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 254.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.62 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 238.51$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.26 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 236.87$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.95 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 215.79$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.77 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 206.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.08 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 182.64$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.24 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 182.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 177.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 176.75$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 153.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.77 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 152$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 123.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 119.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 109.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 92.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 91.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 89.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 87.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 70.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 68.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 59.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 57.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e90…188dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 54.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…79afbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 53.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x304e…9ce6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…58a3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fa…013abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 42.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 42.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 38.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f0…ffdbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb82a…ef47backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 35.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…532dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…5b46backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 27.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…ca4ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7132…f7f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…e152backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 25.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 25.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…053ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…20a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0812…5f92backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 22.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…c851backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…18eebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 19.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 19.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…e338backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 19.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…44a2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 18.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.