TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52f0…ffdb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT4560%27 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT3865.8%25 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$13.76
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.49
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.04
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$15.35
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.6
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercer Bears vs. Wofford Terriersbacked Mercer Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Utah State Aggies vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+59.1%+$11.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+150%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.