MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc534440e2b30f33db67583acf8219bf55dbb563693a42927131536c9be7f72b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,406 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 19,079$10,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,325.71 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 7,833$3,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.47 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 0c | 7,350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 4,235$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.98 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 2,691$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.48 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 2,316$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.11 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 2,041$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.17 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 2,007$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 1,113$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.85 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 1,039$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.15 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…c4f8backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 903$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 801.97$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.13 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…3c73backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 794$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 739.66$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.34 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 635$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.16 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…77b7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 483$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…3ee4backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 468$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 386.58$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.52 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 344$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.69 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 316.64$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.21 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 292$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.66 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 285.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 9c | 271.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 243.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 208$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 194.28$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1c…1a43backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 187$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebf…3b02backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 183.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 169.29$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 168.35$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…6772backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 165$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302d…5886backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 164$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 155.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 132.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x892d…c1e6backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…bddfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 105$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 96.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 92.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x323f…69c1backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd6…1d0ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 74.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 73.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c19…688fbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 68.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 63.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 57.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 56.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…6082backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 25c | 43.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f0…ffdbbacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…1ac3backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 35.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…20a4backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…4229backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 26.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…ca4ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 24.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Atlanta Braves | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb900…3818backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6e…5515backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b8…9592backed Atlanta Braves | 78c | 19.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 194 | 69.1%134 W · 60 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…1d7dbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.