MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x249b906db188154372760bf5d3843f3368aba98401784af1b594127ee8e5c956
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,886 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 5,229$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042.04 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 23c | 3,587$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.92 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 3,228$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Minnesota Twins | 72c | 3,144$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.02 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 2,886$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.4 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 63c | 1,637$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.9 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 1,496$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.54 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,460$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.13 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 1,350$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.82 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Boston Red Sox | 27c | 1,320$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.23 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 1,074$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.35 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 1,013$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.13 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 950.09$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.73 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 800$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.51 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Minnesota Twins | 80c | 613$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.79 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 580.2$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.35 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 563.77$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.77 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 457.23$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 374.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.32 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Boston Red Sox | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 302$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.91 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 300.15$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Boston Red Sox | 26c | 299.52$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Minnesota Twins | 78c | 262$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Boston Red Sox | 24c | 248.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 246.35$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.74 | 380 | 57.4%218 W · 162 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 207$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.88 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 195.37$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 176.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.62 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 172.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.37 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Boston Red Sox | 22c | 162.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 160.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 142.24$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 484 | 45.9%222 W · 262 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 135.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.48 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 135$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Boston Red Sox | 29c | 132.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 125.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 124.35$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 115.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 396 | 53.5%212 W · 184 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 103$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 102.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 102$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a51…cfeebacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 96.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 88.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 71.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 68.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 63.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 54.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 49.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd64c…92c7backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x304e…9ce6backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 45.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 43.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x406c…ec46backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 41.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…739fbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 41.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 39.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 38.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 37.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f0…ffdbbacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 34.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…f59abacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 28.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…7879backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…2e79backed Minnesota Twins | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.