Tennis · resolved market
Jiujiang: Heather Watson vs Kyoka Okamura
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2e60b4140636c41d4889f4892b023e2af432164e5380bacc8c4aa9f3ac79ada
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heather Watsonof Heather Watson, Kyoka Okamura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $245,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbba9…f183backed Kyoka Okamura | 17c | 79,944$13,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,247.09 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kyoka Okamura | 3c | 24,716$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.84 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Kyoka Okamura | 1c | 4,763$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…ce7abacked Kyoka Okamura | 16c | 2,898$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Kyoka Okamura | 20c | 2,747$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.61 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Heather Watson | 76c | 2,070$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.16 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…cea7backed Kyoka Okamura | 15c | 1,756$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.35 | 327 | 35.5%116 W · 211 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Kyoka Okamura | 23c | 1,561$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.29 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Kyoka Okamura | 19c | 1,500$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.86 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Kyoka Okamura | 1c | 1,418$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Heather Watson | 74c | 1,365$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.49 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Kyoka Okamura | 28c | 1,000$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.54 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Kyoka Okamura | 43c | 922.9$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.97 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Heather Watson | 69c | 724.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.71 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Kyoka Okamura | 19c | 721.05$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…d4eabacked Heather Watson | 69c | 695.33$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.2 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Kyoka Okamura | 28c | 647.74$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.95 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Heather Watson | 78c | 623.12$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.69 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Heather Watson | 76c | 620.71$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.97 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Kyoka Okamura | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.97 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Heather Watson | 77c | 567.12$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.33 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Kyoka Okamura | 19c | 527.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Kyoka Okamura | 14c | 495.34$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Heather Watson | 68c | 439.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.83 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Kyoka Okamura | 25c | 402.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Kyoka Okamura | 32c | 382.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Kyoka Okamura | 38c | 350$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Heather Watson | 78c | 306$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Kyoka Okamura | 25c | 301.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Kyoka Okamura | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 247 | 47.4%117 W · 130 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5c…f951backed Kyoka Okamura | 33c | 296.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.59 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Heather Watson | 80c | 293.64$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Heather Watson | 62c | 291.22$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…a7dbbacked Kyoka Okamura | 40c | 256.66$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…6d47backed Kyoka Okamura | 17c | 250.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Heather Watson | 80c | 250.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heather Watson | 78c | 249.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Kyoka Okamura | 20c | 219.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Kyoka Okamura | 15c | 218.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Heather Watson | 53c | 208.26$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x550c…55fdbacked Kyoka Okamura | 15c | 196$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Heather Watson | 77c | 191.54$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Kyoka Okamura | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Heather Watson | 78c | 180.95$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6477…4243backed Kyoka Okamura | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…1422backed Kyoka Okamura | 46c | 152.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Heather Watson | 73c | 139.82$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Heather Watson | 68c | 137.25$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Heather Watson | 67c | 135.63$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Heather Watson | 77c | 125.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Heather Watson | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 179 | 57.5%103 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Heather Watson | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Heather Watson | 73c | 121.36$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Heather Watson | 62c | 117$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 257 | 63.4%163 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Heather Watson | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 244 | 63.5%155 W · 89 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Heather Watson | 68c | 105.52$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Heather Watson | 67c | 103.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Heather Watson | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…c8f1backed Kyoka Okamura | 37c | 95.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kyoka Okamura | 24c | 90.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…3630backed Kyoka Okamura | 22c | 89.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Heather Watson | 63c | 88.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcae…fe45backed Kyoka Okamura | 31c | 86.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Kyoka Okamura | 30c | 84.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heather Watson | 76c | 84.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…be63backed Heather Watson | 80c | 79.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed Heather Watson | 71c | 65.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Kyoka Okamura | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Heather Watson | 79c | 62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…9cbdbacked Kyoka Okamura | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…9b6cbacked Kyoka Okamura | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Heather Watson | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Heather Watson | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Kyoka Okamura | 30c | 56.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Heather Watson | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Heather Watson | 67c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Kyoka Okamura | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c6…737abacked Heather Watson | 70c | 46.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -25.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Heather Watson | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 336 | 55.1%185 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Heather Watson | 71c | 41.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Kyoka Okamura | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Heather Watson | 73c | 39.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 197 | 61.4%121 W · 76 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Heather Watson | 55c | 35.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Kyoka Okamura | 29c | 35.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heather Watson | 78c | 35.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…3e48backed Heather Watson | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 150 | 58.7%88 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a28…1813backed Kyoka Okamura | 39c | 30.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Kyoka Okamura | 33c | 30.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Heather Watson | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 72 | 73.6%53 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Kyoka Okamura | 38c | 29.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb147…30a4backed Heather Watson | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f0…ffdbbacked Heather Watson | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…76d4backed Heather Watson | 67c | 28.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Heather Watson | 71c | 25.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Heather Watson | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 118 | 91.5%108 W · 10 L | +17.4wins | +0.15per pick | 77cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5010…0526backed Heather Watson | 76c | 23.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Heather Watson | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 172 | 69.2%119 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Heather Watson | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Heather Watson | 65c | 19.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Heather Watson | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jiujiang: Heather Watson vs Kyoka Okamurathis page
- Watson vs. Okamura: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.