TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda2e…9b6c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Weather, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 54 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+239%+$42.3
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.63
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+180%+$45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.02
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.3
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovicbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$15.84
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Caty McNally vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Jiujiang: Heather Watson vs Kyoka Okamurabacked Kyoka Okamura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Taylor Townsend vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$47.4
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+821.1%+$93.6
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.79
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$40.39
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$34.76
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Koprivabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.94
Madrid Open: Anna Bondar vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.08
Gwangju: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Murphy Cassonebacked Murphy Cassone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Filsbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.19
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$37.38
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$23.6
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+259.3%+$43.3
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+128.9%+$45.05
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.3
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$42.84
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+139.7%+$45.24
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$48.16
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.14
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.2
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+50.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C or higher on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+152.2%+$18.1
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+509.4%+$83.58
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+151.3%+$42.66
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+49.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.97
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+130.9%+$58.93
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33.9%+$6.79
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+1,181.7%+$129.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$92.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.