MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63cf9944d7a0aefaf5cd8529d02636a87459c4f6ef3aaf856db3aea6af2dd9f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof New York Yankees, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,939 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 24,065$12,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,342.78 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 11,477$5,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,968.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 7,653$3,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,889.94 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed New York Yankees | 0c | 7,395$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed New York Yankees | 49c | 6,930$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.21 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 6,666$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.66 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed New York Yankees | 52c | 1,924$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,650$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,332$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,183$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.92 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d2ffbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,048$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,004$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.24 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed New York Yankees | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 591.88$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.7 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked New York Yankees | 45c | 448.93$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.02 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…bb7fbacked New York Yankees | 49c | 307$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed New York Yankees | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 290.68$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 222$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed New York Yankees | 49c | 221$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 201.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.43 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 183.21$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.78 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 180$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 172.28$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 170.43$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 157.59$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 131.15$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…7418backed New York Yankees | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked New York Yankees | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 95.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…79afbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Chicago Cubs | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Chicago Cubs | 77c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed New York Yankees | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 326 | 47.9%156 W · 170 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 39.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 37.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 36.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Chicago Cubs | 42c | 36.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…e700backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 34.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 28.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 27.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed New York Yankees | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…2e79backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.