NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x809dfe8ac5ed45618ea836d253452fb7a2fb5d1547e93493ca01ff63fc7254fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,536 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 52c | 25,000$13,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,081.51 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 47c | 10,088$4,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,346.74 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…329abacked Over | 52c | 10,002$5,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,241.08 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa021…e57fbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8895…04b1backed Under | 50c | 10,000$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,005 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 7,490$3,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,745 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 6,896$3,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 50c | 5,800$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 48c | 4,576$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.31 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Under | 49c | 4,406$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.12 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Over | 52c | 4,128$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.56 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 48c | 4,128$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.56 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1138…0f04backed Under | 50c | 2,908$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b68…4771backed Over | 50c | 2,748$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba5…0669backed Over | 50c | 2,242$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9511…6697backed Over | 50c | 2,165$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9b…cb0cbacked Under | 50c | 2,005$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd129…be33backed Over | 50c | 1,884$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 1,838$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.38 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…5a55backed Under | 50c | 1,702$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x166d…985ebacked Under | 50c | 1,698$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…8074backed Under | 50c | 1,648$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c3…d907backed Under | 50c | 1,602$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0503…d8a0backed Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…271bbacked Under | 50c | 1,474$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…c8ddbacked Over | 50c | 1,452$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa193…eec8backed Under | 50c | 1,444$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…0c1abacked Over | 50c | 1,416$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4444…2336backed Under | 50c | 1,415$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 47c | 1,335$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.55 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd9…9a42backed Over | 50c | 1,322$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffa…df9bbacked Under | 50c | 1,310$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…e40fbacked Over | 50c | 1,308$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebeb…ce76backed Over | 50c | 1,190$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad6…6b16backed Under | 50c | 1,132$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…9cb0backed Under | 50c | 1,102$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 1,038$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.72 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4627backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…bb7fbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 998.32$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.13 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 989.21$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.19 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…47e6backed Under | 50c | 988$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5932…de3dbacked Over | 50c | 988$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Under | 52c | 924.42$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.42 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…9c41backed Over | 50c | 920$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Under | 51c | 907.84$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.84 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under | 49c | 877.55$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.55 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 50c | 872$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…4afdbacked Over | 50c | 824$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Under | 51c | 770.98$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.78 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b3…2ce7backed Over | 50c | 769$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b7…224ebacked Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a2…ab3fbacked Under | 50c | 652$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…2f97backed Under | 51c | 590$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ce…17e6backed Under | 50c | 464$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c3…7f82backed Over | 50c | 408$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc50b…a2b1backed Under | 50c | 379$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1d…27fabacked Over | 50c | 366$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 348.35$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.35 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 47c | 346.6$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.7 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 52c | 327.95$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.71 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa2…8adbbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Over | 53c | 288.68$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 53c | 284.89$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.99 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ab…cf5abacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…3898backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf033…6f43backed Over | 50c | 179$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 14c | 172.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…7cf9backed Under | 50c | 172$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac94…e414backed Under | 49c | 148.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 53c | 143.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 47c | 142.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 23c | 133.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 133.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.01 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Over | 53c | 121.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Under | 78c | 109.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 107.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 102.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 47c | 100.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 51c | 98.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…c2e0backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 19c | 90.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 80.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5daf…7d98backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. CelticsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.