NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2d956461833504d2bfe0c34ceb0bfe16ada8f1705441e91cf0d720dfea6b591
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Celtics, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $852,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $852,241 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 586 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Celtics | 52c | 96,384$50,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,119.78 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 80,000$38,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,600 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Celtics | 52c | 58,387$30,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,121.24 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 55,965$26,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,662.18 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Timberwolves | 48c | 55,637$26,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,931.25 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Celtics | 53c | 47,170$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd64…7445backed Timberwolves | 48c | 42,000$20,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,840 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Timberwolves | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,800 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd76…00f4backed Celtics | 52c | 31,938$16,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,607.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 57c | 27,370$15,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,851.91 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Celtics | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.96 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Celtics | 53c | 24,077$12,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,760.92 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…a78bbacked Celtics | 52c | 21,744$11,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,306.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…2432backed Timberwolves | 48c | 20,467$9,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,642.84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Celtics | 50c | 20,144$10,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,033.48 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80fe…f5d6backed Celtics | 52c | 20,107$10,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,455.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Timberwolves | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…4517backed Celtics | 52c | 19,883$10,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,339.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8c…d55cbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 19,622$9,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,203.44 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Celtics | 53c | 19,014$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc48f…b16fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 18,675$8,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,711 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdadc…6a57backed Celtics | 52c | 17,655$9,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,180.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1d…3178backed Timberwolves | 48c | 17,350$8,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,022 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93da…3ed2backed Celtics | 52c | 17,165$8,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,925.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ce…76c3backed Timberwolves | 48c | 17,132$8,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,908.64 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6610…6673backed Celtics | 52c | 16,932$8,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,804.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 16,928$7,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,951.31 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…4b8ebacked Celtics | 52c | 16,788$8,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,729.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1dd…a449backed Timberwolves | 48c | 16,615$7,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,639.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ed9abacked Timberwolves | 48c | 15,883$7,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,259.16 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.38per pick | 49cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 58c | 14,028$8,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,952.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 13,024$6,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,766.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Celtics | 52c | 12,967$6,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,743 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fc…cd67backed Celtics | 52c | 12,043$6,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,262.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb838…d713backed Celtics | 52c | 11,538$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e5…a92bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 10,337$4,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,375.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…9ad4backed Celtics | 52c | 10,102$5,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,253.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Timberwolves | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7151…8c97backed Celtics | 52c | 9,807$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…1db7backed Celtics | 52c | 9,702$5,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,045.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 8,996$4,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,747.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…52afbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 8,899$4,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,627.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Celtics | 52c | 7,745$4,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,030.53 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 50c | 7,280$3,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,664.39 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd41…baf2backed Celtics | 52c | 6,764$3,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Celtics | 52c | 6,731$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 53c | 6,509$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,460.01 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…fd15backed Celtics | 52c | 6,343$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,298.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…bf31backed Timberwolves | 48c | 6,221$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c02…22a7backed Celtics | 52c | 5,990$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7e…d973backed Timberwolves | 48c | 5,973$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0211…e30cbacked Celtics | 52c | 5,925$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Celtics | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 47c | 5,747$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.21 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86d…7588backed Celtics | 52c | 5,558$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…9505backed Timberwolves | 48c | 5,204$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52b…62ffbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 5,135$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb6…e3ddbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 5,125$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ee…4f03backed Timberwolves | 48c | 5,093$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2238…b57abacked Timberwolves | 48c | 4,944$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Timberwolves | 47c | 4,924$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.36 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a3…a956backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,923$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa412…bf8ebacked Timberwolves | 48c | 4,902$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…75b8backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,894$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1710…50e7backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,882$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…c9e5backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,858$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf113…3f5abacked Timberwolves | 48c | 4,781$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054f…724fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 4,682$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5205…ca3ebacked Timberwolves | 48c | 4,679$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…91fabacked Celtics | 52c | 4,673$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c15…c697backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,671$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.92 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5f…e8debacked Timberwolves | 48c | 4,660$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…bb63backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,625$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b73…0414backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,620$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef42…4a76backed Celtics | 52c | 4,606$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9edd…a7b9backed Celtics | 52c | 4,572$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd407…043bbacked Celtics | 52c | 4,552$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Celtics | 52c | 4,540$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.99 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f53…54a1backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,527$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…d5f7backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,509$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…acf5backed Celtics | 52c | 4,506$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…e0c9backed Celtics | 52c | 4,480$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…b9f7backed Celtics | 52c | 4,473$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1d…3436backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,460$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d40…4559backed Celtics | 52c | 4,458$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc18…264dbacked Celtics | 52c | 4,442$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91bb…05eabacked Timberwolves | 48c | 4,434$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…ad0bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 4,412$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1deb…545dbacked Celtics | 52c | 4,402$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f0…63ffbacked Celtics | 52c | 4,402$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0d…cbd8backed Celtics | 52c | 4,368$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…a201backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,366$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c49…2555backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,346$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…1c2abacked Timberwolves | 48c | 4,337$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…7878backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,317$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba7…732abacked Celtics | 52c | 4,310$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070c…508bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 4,298$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…983abacked Timberwolves | 48c | 4,292$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. CelticsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.