TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,152 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c6,347$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,393.599,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Over54c5,606$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0009556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under78c3,215$2,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.654,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x509d…0fa6backed Over54c3,006$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afe…6a46backed Under46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e2b…b78ebacked Under46c2,995$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cfd…1024backed Over54c2,977$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d04…b9b5backed Under46c2,957$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabfa…805fbacked Over54c2,954$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc7a…7bebbacked Over54c2,899$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fea…a752backed Under46c2,899$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd58…7735backed Over54c2,865$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over54c2,863$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.021,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70cb…2648backed Under46c2,850$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5392100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x572a…d807backed Over54c2,783$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x894a…ee4abacked Over54c2,751$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x612d…f0fdbacked Over54c2,749$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1c7…a99abacked Over54c2,741$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4a4…3437backed Under46c2,741$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Over54c2,737$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47810459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cc6…2b06backed Over54c2,735$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bc3…b583backed Under46c2,730$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x359f…6ae8backed Under46c2,720$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3b…3f09backed Under46c2,710$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4546…cafcbacked Under46c2,700$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d46…941dbacked Under46c2,691$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf17a…dc1fbacked Under46c2,668$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over33c2,656$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.358844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8033…fab1backed Over54c2,639$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb6…4b4abacked Under45c2,632$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedbb…afe5backed Over54c2,573$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.4220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e36…0f8dbacked Under45c2,565$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3619…da96backed Over55c2,263$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fa…8f42backed Under45c2,253$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a1…8fe4backed Over53c2,150$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e6c…ece6backed Over55c2,055$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2e…1f84backed Over53c2,050$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c00…94eebacked Over55c2,023$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06016635.5%59 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x012d…76e9backed Over52c1,950$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3085…0a51backed Over52c1,850$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79c…7f49backed Under45c1,788$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa1…0cf7backed Over55c1,755$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over57c1,744$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over19c1,672$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.942,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68de…8669backed Under45c1,623$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43a7…7a86backed Over55c1,570$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fd3…2002backed Over55c1,536$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under46c1,122$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.731,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over18c1,037$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7728842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c953.79$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.584,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Over54c929.98$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.1934855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under47c786$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.5858951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Over51c738.27$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.5241652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0084…d930backed Under47c730$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over19c717.88$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.388,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b6…6a34backed Under47c670$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under48c624.01$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.8671449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb90c…fad3backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x975b…a31abacked Under48c550$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over54c543.08$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.93,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over17c492.71$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.252,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under65c474.41$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4146258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaba…0b1fbacked Under49c470$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e9…39b0backed Over15c458.16$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.437152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Over23c435.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009546.3%44 W · 51 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed Under46c407$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.783228.1%9 W · 23 L-7.3wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under51c400.75$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.143,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7972…468abacked Under47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f6…c115backed Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a4e…f211backed Under47c390$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb08f…17f2backed Under48c380$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f3a…0fcbbacked Under47c370$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x235b…a154backed Under48c370$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa901…8966backed Under47c360$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6130…5b99backed Under48c350$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86ec…a34cbacked Under45c341$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2048…4014backed Under47c340$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbae8…1bb4backed Under48c339.99$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under79c331.78$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2130…d285backed Under47c330$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4096…bfedbacked Under48c320$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed26…a1f5backed Under47c310$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f0…13ddbacked Under48c310$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b40…330ebacked Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28fe…bb16backed Under48c290$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under74c288.47$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2390357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fac…f2f9backed Under48c280$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over23c270.76$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.351438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under45c261.41$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2958450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c251.04$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.053,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under47c238$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.032,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2752146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Over54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12024849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2243447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c216.47$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.225,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under47c190.25$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3395047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over56c178.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c4d…1b43backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.