NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b82ae806027e3b65b708f02435db81e1763c3db2ce0d98e6d1e883c5441a009
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,152 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 6,347$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,393.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Over | 54c | 5,606$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 78c | 3,215$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.65 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0fa6backed Over | 54c | 3,006$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…6a46backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…b78ebacked Under | 46c | 2,995$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfd…1024backed Over | 54c | 2,977$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d04…b9b5backed Under | 46c | 2,957$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfa…805fbacked Over | 54c | 2,954$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7a…7bebbacked Over | 54c | 2,899$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…a752backed Under | 46c | 2,899$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd58…7735backed Over | 54c | 2,865$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 54c | 2,863$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.02 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70cb…2648backed Under | 46c | 2,850$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x572a…d807backed Over | 54c | 2,783$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x894a…ee4abacked Over | 54c | 2,751$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x612d…f0fdbacked Over | 54c | 2,749$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c7…a99abacked Over | 54c | 2,741$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a4…3437backed Under | 46c | 2,741$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Over | 54c | 2,737$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…2b06backed Over | 54c | 2,735$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc3…b583backed Under | 46c | 2,730$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…6ae8backed Under | 46c | 2,720$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…3f09backed Under | 46c | 2,710$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4546…cafcbacked Under | 46c | 2,700$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d46…941dbacked Under | 46c | 2,691$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…dc1fbacked Under | 46c | 2,668$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Over | 33c | 2,656$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.35 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8033…fab1backed Over | 54c | 2,639$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…4b4abacked Under | 45c | 2,632$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbb…afe5backed Over | 54c | 2,573$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e36…0f8dbacked Under | 45c | 2,565$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3619…da96backed Over | 55c | 2,263$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fa…8f42backed Under | 45c | 2,253$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a1…8fe4backed Over | 53c | 2,150$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…ece6backed Over | 55c | 2,055$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…1f84backed Over | 53c | 2,050$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c00…94eebacked Over | 55c | 2,023$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…76e9backed Over | 52c | 1,950$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…0a51backed Over | 52c | 1,850$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…7f49backed Under | 45c | 1,788$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…0cf7backed Over | 55c | 1,755$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Over | 57c | 1,744$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 19c | 1,672$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.94 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68de…8669backed Under | 45c | 1,623$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a7…7a86backed Over | 55c | 1,570$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…2002backed Over | 55c | 1,536$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 46c | 1,122$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.73 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 18c | 1,037$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.77 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 953.79$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.58 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 54c | 929.98$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.19 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 47c | 786$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.58 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 51c | 738.27$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.52 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0084…d930backed Under | 47c | 730$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 19c | 717.88$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…6a34backed Under | 47c | 670$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 48c | 624.01$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.86 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…fad3backed Under | 48c | 610$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…a31abacked Under | 48c | 550$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 54c | 543.08$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.9 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 492.71$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 65c | 474.41$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.41 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaba…0b1fbacked Under | 49c | 470$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…39b0backed Over | 15c | 458.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 23c | 435.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Under | 46c | 407$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.78 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 400.75$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.14 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…468abacked Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f6…c115backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4e…f211backed Under | 47c | 390$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…17f2backed Under | 48c | 380$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3a…0fcbbacked Under | 47c | 370$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x235b…a154backed Under | 48c | 370$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa901…8966backed Under | 47c | 360$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6130…5b99backed Under | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ec…a34cbacked Under | 45c | 341$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…4014backed Under | 47c | 340$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae8…1bb4backed Under | 48c | 339.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 79c | 331.78$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2130…d285backed Under | 47c | 330$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4096…bfedbacked Under | 48c | 320$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…a1f5backed Under | 47c | 310$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…13ddbacked Under | 48c | 310$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…330ebacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…bb16backed Under | 48c | 290$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 74c | 288.47$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.23 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fac…f2f9backed Under | 48c | 280$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 23c | 270.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 45c | 261.41$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.29 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 251.04$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.05 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 238$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.03 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Over | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 216.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.22 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 47c | 190.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 56c | 178.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…1b43backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. CelticsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.