NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9cf4d92eeb17adbcf44e5f0c5db57d9e7650ee93c2c0d5f41a4bdb0012b3b45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Celtics, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $765,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $765,136 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Celtics | 49c | 514,406$252,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252,389.08 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 200,000$102,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,000 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Timberwolves | 51c | 125,000$63,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,250 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 89,212$45,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,054.38 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves | 51c | 80,700$41,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,543 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Timberwolves | 52c | 19,992$10,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,596.33 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Celtics | 53c | 8,427$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb05a…6308backed Celtics | 48c | 6,798$3,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,263.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Celtics | 48c | 6,207$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.55 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bd…cc0abacked Celtics | 47c | 6,132$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 48c | 6,127$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,941.07 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Timberwolves | 51c | 6,066$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.24 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3a…0fcbbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 6,054$3,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…fad3backed Timberwolves | 52c | 5,978$3,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63b3…8623backed Timberwolves | 53c | 5,958$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf598…1f50backed Celtics | 48c | 5,946$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…13ddbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 5,938$3,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…330ebacked Timberwolves | 52c | 5,924$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,843.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…34eabacked Timberwolves | 53c | 5,804$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc68e…d5d9backed Timberwolves | 52c | 5,776$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa148…afbfbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 5,750$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4096…bfedbacked Celtics | 48c | 5,750$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0e…63f0backed Celtics | 47c | 5,726$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb770…96e7backed Timberwolves | 52c | 5,718$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0084…d930backed Timberwolves | 52c | 5,692$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…a31abacked Celtics | 48c | 5,438$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…6c67backed Celtics | 48c | 5,400$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…9e46backed Celtics | 48c | 5,400$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae8…1bb4backed Celtics | 48c | 5,382$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd729…7711backed Timberwolves | 52c | 5,372$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x235b…a154backed Celtics | 48c | 5,254$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fac…f2f9backed Timberwolves | 52c | 5,136$2,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9657…2759backed Celtics | 47c | 5,116$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…ed49backed Celtics | 48c | 5,028$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Celtics | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…6a34backed Celtics | 48c | 4,988$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa901…8966backed Celtics | 48c | 4,959$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…ea5abacked Celtics | 47c | 4,940$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0a…0578backed Celtics | 47c | 4,810$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…0bfcbacked Celtics | 47c | 4,786$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a4…9657backed Timberwolves | 53c | 4,768$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…0a51backed Celtics | 48c | 4,764$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc77e…2a31backed Timberwolves | 53c | 4,746$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…bb16backed Timberwolves | 52c | 4,742$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…17f2backed Timberwolves | 52c | 4,714$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6130…5b99backed Timberwolves | 52c | 4,662$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 49c | 4,632$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.18 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…7f89backed Celtics | 47c | 4,618$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef0…b25dbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 4,596$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…76e9backed Celtics | 48c | 4,582$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…9f71backed Timberwolves | 53c | 4,546$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4e…f211backed Timberwolves | 52c | 4,388$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf4…5694backed Timberwolves | 53c | 4,378$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 58c | 4,235$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.25 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Timberwolves | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a1…8fe4backed Celtics | 48c | 3,992$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Celtics | 48c | 3,958$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…1f84backed Celtics | 48c | 3,956$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1817…e17cbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 3,616$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Celtics | 48c | 3,414$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.8 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Timberwolves | 50c | 3,330$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.25 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,251$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.01 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Celtics | 48c | 3,089$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.6 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,809$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.19 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2130…d285backed Celtics | 48c | 2,430$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Celtics | 48c | 2,336$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.52 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Celtics | 48c | 2,135$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.04 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Celtics | 49c | 2,059$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves | 58c | 2,035$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.29 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Celtics | 49c | 2,001$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.49 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…4014backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,920$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 66c | 1,731$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.23 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Celtics | 48c | 1,442$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.35 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Celtics | 13c | 1,407$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Celtics | 48c | 1,381$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.71 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Celtics | 33c | 1,295$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.51 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,290$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.26 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…7caabacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,252$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…4331backed Celtics | 48c | 1,247$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Celtics | 48c | 1,221$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.29 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Celtics | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 932.82$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Celtics | 48c | 859.79$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.36 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Celtics | 51c | 853.48$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.38 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Celtics | 50c | 818.11$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.82 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…a1f5backed Celtics | 48c | 760$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…468abacked Celtics | 48c | 686$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Timberwolves | 52c | 618.75$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…18d6backed Timberwolves | 70c | 575.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Timberwolves | 53c | 501.89$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.89 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…0704backed Timberwolves | 53c | 449.06$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.06 | 187 | 55.6%104 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Celtics | 46c | 433.38$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.4 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 401$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.48 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…7235backed Timberwolves | 52c | 396.86$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.49 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Timberwolves | 65c | 384.02$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.35 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Timberwolves | 54c | 372.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.16 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. CelticsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.