TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Illinois State Redbirdsof Wake Forest Demon Deacons, Illinois State Redbirds
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,700

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,700 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b47…d615backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons51c30,643$15,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,657.6174051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Illinois State Redbirds49c19,991$9,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,211.3919950.3%100 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Illinois State Redbirds53c13,857$7,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,484.741,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons45c10,446$4,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,700.8825145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Illinois State Redbirds49c6,133$2,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,138.742,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Illinois State Redbirds50c5,007$2,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,523.233,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Illinois State Redbirds55c4,328$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,947.5319958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons52c3,111$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons48c2,602$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.382,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb4…3839backed Illinois State Redbirds61c2,054$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.551729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons46c1,873$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.174,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Illinois State Redbirds49c1,783$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.2310543.8%46 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Illinois State Redbirds49c1,712$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.9739454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons57c1,596$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.523043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5748…3c7bbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons51c1,289$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.282450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Illinois State Redbirds55c1,128$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.675,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons52c1,088$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.414257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons51c787.04$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.3915858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons32c740.41$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.9353635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Illinois State Redbirds48c699.76$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.8716147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons38c652.47$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.9444146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Illinois State Redbirds41c524.42$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.71,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons51c455.48$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.175,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Illinois State Redbirds51c392.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.151,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons52c305$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.679448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x268e…bb7fbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons52c272.64$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.772245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons33c248.07$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8658652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons44c222.81$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1432246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons47c191.59$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8719147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons52c190.63$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons53c187.03$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons52c130.1$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6510458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed Illinois State Redbirds56c109.44$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.772770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Illinois State Redbirds72c103.35$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3757655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons50c102.1$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.44334.9%15 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Illinois State Redbirds49c101.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5923054.3%125 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.991,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde51…b01ebacked Illinois State Redbirds51c99.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Illinois State Redbirds49c94.17$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0362451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Illinois State Redbirds55c84.93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2222250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons50c83.92$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.962147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb5a…2faabacked Illinois State Redbirds55c83.08$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.681376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons49c73.23$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8850745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Illinois State Redbirds49c72.6$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.197558.7%44 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Illinois State Redbirds49c71.84$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9529650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Illinois State Redbirds50c69.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3540849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons41c69.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.511,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Illinois State Redbirds60c65.24$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.795743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons51c63.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.564647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Illinois State Redbirds51c61.22$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons49c60.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.033,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e13…b909backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons40c58.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.21662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Illinois State Redbirds48c57.49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.911854.2%64 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Illinois State Redbirds48c55.01$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7533058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons47c54.4$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7233445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Illinois State Redbirds55c53.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.287962%49 W · 30 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4213…6940backed Illinois State Redbirds56c53.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.37785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x370c…3eb1backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons42c48.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Illinois State Redbirds59c47.32$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.262450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons51c42.61$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.622,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Illinois State Redbirds48c41.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.664,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0893…c760backed Illinois State Redbirds49c40.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.422462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons49c38.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8813456.7%76 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Illinois State Redbirds51c31.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.157565.3%49 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f7…0140backed Illinois State Redbirds49c29.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Illinois State Redbirds49c26.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.529441.5%39 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons52c26.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.537160.6%43 W · 28 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons43c25.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.932142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff9b…6a02backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons51c22.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.631136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa478…2779backed Illinois State Redbirds55c21.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.691764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x955f…2e25backed Illinois State Redbirds49c20.82$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.621968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+46.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb0dd…5f78backed Illinois State Redbirds75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Illinois State Redbirds55c19.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.922365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.