Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Mattia Bellucci
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddac2cc280cecf184f19606780f9911e446a374776b6684c03e54472efc0948d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Michelsenof Alex Michelsen, Mattia Bellucci
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,848 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Alex Michelsen | 67c | 6,061$4,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.67 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Alex Michelsen | 67c | 5,913$3,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.12 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Mattia Bellucci | 32c | 5,234$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.8 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Mattia Bellucci | 34c | 4,640$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.53 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mattia Bellucci | 31c | 3,413$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.75 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Mattia Bellucci | 29c | 2,873$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.58 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Alex Michelsen | 66c | 2,767$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.62 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Mattia Bellucci | 33c | 2,663$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.72 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Alex Michelsen | 71c | 2,556$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.43 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Mattia Bellucci | 34c | 2,446$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.09 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Mattia Bellucci | 33c | 2,194$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.92 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Mattia Bellucci | 30c | 1,906$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.15 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc37f…455dbacked Alex Michelsen | 70c | 1,724$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.39 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…ddd0backed Alex Michelsen | 68c | 1,385$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.22 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mattia Bellucci | 36c | 1,291$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.88 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Alex Michelsen | 69c | 1,279$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.97 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Mattia Bellucci | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mattia Bellucci | 32c | 1,124$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.71 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Alex Michelsen | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…16fbbacked Alex Michelsen | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alex Michelsen | 67c | 923.22$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.44 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Mattia Bellucci | 31c | 899.99$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 777$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.79 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Alex Michelsen | 63c | 769.42$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.47 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Alex Michelsen | 69c | 700$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e1…5916backed Alex Michelsen | 69c | 648.75$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.11 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Mattia Bellucci | 30c | 573.11$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.38 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…ede1backed Alex Michelsen | 69c | 572.1$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Mattia Bellucci | 36c | 530$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.98 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mattia Bellucci | 30c | 463$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.52 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Mattia Bellucci | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Alex Michelsen | 70c | 380.64$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.18 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Mattia Bellucci | 32c | 376.39$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 369.86$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.86 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Mattia Bellucci | 31c | 359.29$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.97 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Mattia Bellucci | 33c | 350$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Mattia Bellucci | 33c | 338.84$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.82 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Mattia Bellucci | 32c | 333$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 280 | 38.2%107 W · 173 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mattia Bellucci | 32c | 299.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Alex Michelsen | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Alex Michelsen | 69c | 286.1$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Mattia Bellucci | 32c | 269$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.08 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mattia Bellucci | 34c | 268.95$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Alex Michelsen | 69c | 263.52$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…68e3backed Alex Michelsen | 69c | 208.7$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Alex Michelsen | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Alex Michelsen | 66c | 197.59$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Alex Michelsen | 68c | 189.71$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Alex Michelsen | 68c | 183.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Mattia Bellucci | 34c | 160$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Alex Michelsen | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Alex Michelsen | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Mattia Bellucci | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Alex Michelsen | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -13.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Alex Michelsen | 67c | 149$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Alex Michelsen | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 526 | 61.2%322 W · 204 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Mattia Bellucci | 33c | 131.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 341 | 48.1%164 W · 177 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Mattia Bellucci | 32c | 126.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Alex Michelsen | 66c | 116.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Alex Michelsen | 66c | 113.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Mattia Bellucci | 32c | 109.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alex Michelsen | 65c | 103.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Alex Michelsen | 66c | 102.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Mattia Bellucci | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6040…33a9backed Mattia Bellucci | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Alex Michelsen | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…bb7fbacked Alex Michelsen | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Mattia Bellucci | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alex Michelsen | 66c | 98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Alex Michelsen | 70c | 97.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 127 | 65.4%83 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Alex Michelsen | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1698…adbdbacked Alex Michelsen | 66c | 87.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Alex Michelsen | 69c | 87.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Mattia Bellucci | 33c | 79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Alex Michelsen | 65c | 78.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Alex Michelsen | 72c | 77.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Mattia Bellucci | 28c | 75.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Alex Michelsen | 68c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Alex Michelsen | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Alex Michelsen | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Mattia Bellucci | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Mattia Bellucci | 32c | 61.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Mattia Bellucci | 31c | 58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Mattia Bellucci | 31c | 57.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…3b00backed Alex Michelsen | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed Alex Michelsen | 65c | 56.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…642cbacked Alex Michelsen | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 93 | 65.6%61 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd683…fde6backed Alex Michelsen | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mattia Bellucci | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Alex Michelsen | 69c | 48.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Alex Michelsen | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Alex Michelsen | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 202 | 61.4%124 W · 78 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…cb8cbacked Alex Michelsen | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Mattia Bellucci | 35c | 39.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 701 | 48.2%338 W · 363 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Mattia Bellucci | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…1ff9backed Alex Michelsen | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…9d51backed Alex Michelsen | 66c | 30.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db3…2bd2backed Alex Michelsen | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…8cacbacked Alex Michelsen | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 213 | 61.5%131 W · 82 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Alex Michelsen | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Mattia Belluccithis page
- Set Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5)Michelsen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.