Euroleague · resolved market
Ningbo Rockets vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76bee39e2ef95f3fb3624692507cfca8340d0475aca0cb69f13cea80c635f51c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ningbo Rocketsof Ningbo Rockets, Xinjiang Flying Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,081 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 38c | 5,753$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.89 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…9742backed Ningbo Rockets | 62c | 4,495$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Ningbo Rockets | 65c | 3,192$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.31 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 37c | 1,726$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.45 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 34c | 1,420$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.79 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Ningbo Rockets | 62c | 931$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.49 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Ningbo Rockets | 62c | 887.1$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…bb7fbacked Ningbo Rockets | 66c | 703.02$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…3678backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 39c | 699$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.74 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 36c | 678.75$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.83 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 34c | 625.04$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.51 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ad…2d59backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 25c | 623.53$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.51 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…d870backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 39c | 518.29$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.24 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ningbo Rockets | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 11c | 349.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Ningbo Rockets | 66c | 303.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ningbo Rockets | 74c | 287.2$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Ningbo Rockets | 62c | 258.2$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.56 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Ningbo Rockets | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Ningbo Rockets | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Ningbo Rockets | 61c | 186.51$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Ningbo Rockets | 62c | 160.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Ningbo Rockets | 64c | 157.93$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Ningbo Rockets | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 38c | 151.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 24c | 147.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Ningbo Rockets | 63c | 140.78$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 37c | 117.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Ningbo Rockets | 62c | 85.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Ningbo Rockets | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Ningbo Rockets | 63c | 77.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Ningbo Rockets | 78c | 71.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 27c | 66.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4723…5687backed Ningbo Rockets | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…69b4backed Ningbo Rockets | 66c | 56.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ningbo Rockets | 68c | 52.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ningbo Rockets | 63c | 52.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Ningbo Rockets | 63c | 49.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 37c | 48.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Ningbo Rockets | 75c | 47.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 34c | 42.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…a253backed Ningbo Rockets | 66c | 42.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Ningbo Rockets | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Ningbo Rockets | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Ningbo Rockets | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Ningbo Rockets | 79c | 36.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 36c | 31.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 34c | 31.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Ningbo Rockets | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc99f…aeb1backed Ningbo Rockets | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Ningbo Rockets | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x152b…9430backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Ningbo Rockets | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ningbo Rockets | 63c | 27.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…641bbacked Ningbo Rockets | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Ningbo Rockets | 59c | 19.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Ningbo Rockets | 79c | 17.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14af…887ebacked Ningbo Rockets | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.