Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7363004ed95c43ebee3373264f7a1bb49a9a5bb29e5b3ebf0987de205bf11bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd26e…6d8dbacked Over | 51c | 60,829$31,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,800.64 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 13,868$6,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,869.34 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 13,151$6,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,355.15 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 9,934$4,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,628.87 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Under | 53c | 9,351$4,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,954.01 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 49c | 8,012$3,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,905.94 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 7,578$3,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,744.49 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 3,607$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.87 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 3,479$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.59 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Over | 53c | 2,968$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Under | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.41 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 52c | 1,923$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.67 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Under | 49c | 1,213$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.51 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 956.7$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.06 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 53c | 869.35$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.99 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Under | 10c | 632.82$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over | 52c | 591.67$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 55c | 505.33$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.87 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 49c | 499.68$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.11 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Over | 48c | 497.8$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.86 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 79c | 497.1$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 40c | 431.17$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.47 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 424.36$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.88 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe58e…f35dbacked Under | 3c | 399.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Under | 51c | 372.86$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.18 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 349.4$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.18 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 48c | 289.12$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.34 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 50c | 225.01$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…bb7fbacked Over | 48c | 218.08$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 50c | 197.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Over | 52c | 191.16$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 51c | 127.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Over | 52c | 119.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 50c | 118.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Under | 50c | 104.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…9b44backed Over | 67c | 100.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 49c | 98.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under | 51c | 93.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Under | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc2…69a6backed Under | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +10.4wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…43f3backed Under | 55c | 72.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 25c | 68.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…2af6backed Under | 53c | 65.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…3834backed Over | 51c | 60.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Over | 48c | 49.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -9.6wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 49c | 46.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Under | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Under | 50c | 35.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 46c | 32.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Over | 50c | 28.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 80c | 20.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 147.5this page
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-1.5)Utah State Aggies won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-3.5)Utah State Aggies won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-5.5)Utah State Aggies won
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-1.5)Utah State Aggies won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova WildcatsUtah State Aggies won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 146.5Over won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 155.5Over won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 158.5Over won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 161.5Over won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 162.5Under won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 165.5Under won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 169.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.