MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc448cafcd9107ab4caa04be074c52661edf4c6bac0300c5364ac698f57fcf75a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Chicago White Sox, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,797 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 5,576$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.37 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Athletics | 53c | 4,420$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.39 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Chicago White Sox | 1c | 2,585$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +339.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Athletics | 56c | 1,797$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.16 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Chicago White Sox | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Athletics | 53c | 947.82$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.03 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Chicago White Sox | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 579$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.39 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Athletics | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 376$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.83 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…bb7fbacked Athletics | 53c | 358.18$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Chicago White Sox | 9c | 336$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 314$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Athletics | 55c | 299.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 276.6$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.23 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 226$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 220.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 181.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Athletics | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Athletics | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…a69bbacked Athletics | 55c | 138$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Athletics | 12c | 124.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a51…cfeebacked Chicago White Sox | 28c | 108.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Athletics | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Athletics | 39c | 99.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Athletics | 53c | 89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Athletics | 41c | 68.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Athletics | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Athletics | 53c | 53.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Athletics | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 47.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…532dbacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Chicago White Sox | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Athletics | 74c | 32.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Athletics | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chicago White Sox | 77c | 21.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.