South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23e4f61531f55a6c5d4af92233713d6c130c79a0b83c5919bf7ff1f8bffa4de5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,720 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 17,075$10,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,260.27 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 8,995$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,480.39 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 63c | 6,354$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.6 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 46c | 4,143$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.62 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 10c | 2,224$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.6 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 1,320$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.28 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 7c | 1,174$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 80c | 1,053$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.56 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 6c | 1,014$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 23c | 895.55$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.2 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 842.09$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.15 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 74c | 770$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.8 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x201d…2e13backed No | 61c | 706.94$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.62 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 10c | 697.62$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 61c | 526.96$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.01 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 39c | 524.33$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.14 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 40c | 504.14$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.9 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 33c | 373.4$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.1 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 38c | 305.21$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.27 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 26c | 259$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.66 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 40c | 230$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 29c | 219.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 72c | 208.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 71c | 207.72$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Yes | 47c | 187.79$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 27c | 177.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Yes | 34c | 156.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed No | 13c | 152.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd98…6c49backed Yes | 80c | 152.16$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 25c | 151.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 26c | 149.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 32c | 148.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 27c | 131.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 30c | 131.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Yes | 33c | 120.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 38c | 119.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 28c | 115$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 51c | 88.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 27c | 79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 68c | 73.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 73c | 72.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 26c | 59.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 24c | 58.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked Yes | 46c | 57.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9f…dbe1backed Yes | 78c | 51.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61e…a10bbacked Yes | 62c | 47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 27c | 46.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 65c | 46.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Yes | 35c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked No | 61c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 37c | 41.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…401cbacked Yes | 30c | 40.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Yes | 65c | 38.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…8102backed Yes | 40c | 32.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 74c | 27.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…66b3backed No | 74c | 26.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 62c | 25.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8656…718dbacked Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 42c | 24.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc9…c447backed No | 77c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed No | 53c | 19.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…05ddbacked No | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd365…d792backed Yes | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?this page
- Will EC Bahia win on 2026-03-11?No won
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-03-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.