TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd365…d792

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
27
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 52.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.99
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.82
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.86
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$4.26
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.13
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs aimclub (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$3.15
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.42
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group Dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$14.76
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+39.6%+$8.3
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs largadosypelados (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+30.5%+$11.74
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs QUAZAR (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group Cbacked QUAZAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.38
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.35
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group Abacked Oxuji Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+48.5%+$19.28
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$8.58
All 15 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$5.65
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.23
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.