CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x143dcfea782e0e5a12904605ae3c4798b966a336f193ecb8c7ba57585cd396cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Isurus, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,168 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed Keyd | 76c | 969.89$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.46 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Isurus | 26c | 896$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Isurus | 17c | 231.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Isurus | 20c | 209.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Keyd | 78c | 176.2$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Keyd | 79c | 166.28$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keyd | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Isurus | 13c | 125$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Isurus | 20c | 124.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked Isurus | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Keyd | 65c | 105.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Isurus | 33c | 103.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Isurus | 47c | 30.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Keyd | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Keyd | 76c | 15.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd365…d792backed Keyd | 76c | 14.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Keyd - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.