CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd128d5c99e27b4ab5a2d31e9bea19d12dc525696cfb8024d1b9fbd562263629
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of Team Nemesis, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,799 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Nemesis | 2c | 3,866$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 3,752$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.58 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed K27 | 60c | 1,087$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.88 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…a453backed Team Nemesis | 1c | 1,031$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis | 43c | 823.42$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.13 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 799.99$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf96f…51d0backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 797$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed K27 | 60c | 777$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked K27 | 58c | 716.2$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.6 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc761…0470backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 716$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e4…a1c6backed K27 | 59c | 691$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.31 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked K27 | 55c | 665.98$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.69 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6b…321fbacked K27 | 59c | 627$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.07 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d4…68a9backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 606$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f5…1424backed K27 | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…4b85backed K27 | 59c | 555$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.55 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…595dbacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 528$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b9…ba2cbacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 494$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed K27 | 61c | 481.03$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.07 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 480.05$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.93 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5118…5890backed K27 | 59c | 470$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…11d3backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 466$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…3ef2backed K27 | 59c | 450$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…599ebacked K27 | 59c | 433$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.53 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed K27 | 54c | 420.03$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.96 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed K27 | 79c | 409.38$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…e77fbacked K27 | 59c | 379$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed K27 | 58c | 325.97$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.91 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…764fbacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 298.68$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf585…e2a2backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 297$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8015…da39backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 284.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…359bbacked Team Nemesis | 21c | 261.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 249.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked K27 | 57c | 212.59$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…be6fbacked K27 | 57c | 175.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked K27 | 72c | 166.83$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 145.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed K27 | 72c | 139.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -15.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed K27 | 77c | 127.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked K27 | 60c | 126.48$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 24c | 121.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed K27 | 60c | 113.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 111.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 109.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…3799backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 105.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 105.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…2834backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 101.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked K27 | 58c | 101.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Team Nemesis | 21c | 95.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b5…2b43backed K27 | 62c | 90.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…acb1backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 84.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked K27 | 59c | 80.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Team Nemesis | 20c | 79.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed K27 | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…88dabacked K27 | 75c | 58.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…3533backed K27 | 61c | 57.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed K27 | 66c | 52.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed K27 | 57c | 47.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 45.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Team Nemesis | 42c | 45.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 39.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed K27 | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed K27 | 77c | 36.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed K27 | 59c | 33.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…8c98backed K27 | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 28.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked K27 | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked K27 | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…dd32backed K27 | 61c | 24.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked K27 | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe0…192abacked K27 | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked K27 | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd365…d792backed K27 | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 - Map 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.