South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0e23e0abab4c12512727d0f6f0a2387547e09c58e23dc8941e6f375245fc0b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,414 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 16,341$8,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,091 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 12,664$6,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,378.8 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 7c | 2,768$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.89 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 64c | 2,033$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 1,358$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.67 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,117$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.28 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…2925backed No | 71c | 983.24$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 80c | 971.46$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.14 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 76c | 869.77$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.62 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 12c | 798.91$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 38c | 709.04$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.1 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 679.15$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.53 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 51c | 621.75$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.85 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 67c | 285$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.38 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed No | 13c | 265.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 34c | 234.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.35 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 29c | 197.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.36 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 186$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.54 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 28c | 172.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 42c | 165.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 28c | 145$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 37c | 138.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3229…4299backed Yes | 29c | 124.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 123.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…56ecbacked Yes | 34c | 117.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Yes | 50c | 113.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes | 30c | 88.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 17c | 73.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 74c | 58.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 29c | 55.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Yes | 55c | 46.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 58c | 43.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 50c | 41.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked No | 61c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 34.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 69c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 57c | 31.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2927…05fcbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Yes | 60c | 28.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…05ddbacked No | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 44c | 26.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201d…2e13backed Yes | 58c | 26.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 68c | 24.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a4…9a10backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5985…a8cabacked Yes | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Yes | 78c | 17.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd365…d792backed Yes | 73c | 15.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-03-11?No won
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-03-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.