TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-03-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,786

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,786 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes39c19,521$7,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,528.621,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes56c15,104$8,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,456.193354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c11,867$7,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,497.298,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c7,668$4,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,010.615,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked No43c3,919$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.747540%30 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No44c3,850$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,165.93,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No44c3,500$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9605259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes57c3,126$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.828321.7%18 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Yes39c3,000$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.035819%11 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-51.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4002263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.471,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes47c1,944$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.4930841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No43c1,469$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.981,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes27c1,014$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.45125.5%13 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No74c999.85$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Yes56c856.32$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.541533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c825.23$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.452,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes57c771.93$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4409567.4%64 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes31c690.16$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.811,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes3c668.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5621132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No45c647.09$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.249124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Yes30c618.69$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.612839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes60c610$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.2417436.2%63 W · 111 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2804656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4547…ac9bbacked No60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2244153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2b…7a68backed Yes56c389.54$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.89540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No53c334.72$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.2849535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No58c314.03$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.91,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No54c308.04$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.571,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ae5…f4cabacked Yes37c292.93$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked No30c276.32$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.724418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.279956.6%56 W · 43 L+12.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x15bc…398cbacked Yes40c226.53$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6130%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No44c225$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1265160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc82…c7c5backed No75c215.92$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Yes44c203.33$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893650%18 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+36.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed No44c199.64$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1411262.5%70 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No44c190.9$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10667548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No48c183.38$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2528443%122 W · 162 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011140.5%45 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0687…77bfbacked Yes26c172.73$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453923.1%9 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes20c171.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5885220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes56c170.47$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4340242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.51,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8419460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845752.6%30 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8411459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8412761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.59752.6%51 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No46c138.49$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.423,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201d…2e13backed No62c136.13$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.141973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7df…fb74backed Yes58c131.83$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No44c125$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes17c119.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8984943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes57c117.7$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.091,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No44c115$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.47856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes11c114.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.011637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdea…c050backed Yes44c112.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506346%29 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked No43c110.32$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.884544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee6…1678backed Yes53c108.64$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+44.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ec…1363backed Yes56c105.25$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.942548%12 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed No43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked No45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5617960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes57c99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.432,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed No44c98.16$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.972842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed No75c95.3$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.814656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No44c94.94$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1721345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No44c90$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.43857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No44c90$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.47055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255646.4%26 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes26c84.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2213335.3%47 W · 86 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa864…e47bbacked Yes48c81.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-47.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x622b…d7ecbacked Yes41c80.68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes66c80.06$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5282434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1614335.7%51 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked No53c79.59$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.424755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed No52c76.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.925754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No44c75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4213557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e54…7ff1backed Yes46c67.76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd866…5056backed Yes61c65.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd418…d11fbacked No72c65.25$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.22050%10 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd87e…20ebbacked No66c64.14$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.061154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd23…f7eabacked Yes24c63.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5470%0 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.63959%23 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.65250%26 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.66453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.65151%26 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.65350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.65556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.66162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.63759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.65453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.66962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.