South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x026f7d14502d2f849f59fa2672e6fe16594eb747ad4fe34e5bb4408c4c74882e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,926 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 6,315$4,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 36c | 5,837$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,763.43 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 36c | 4,531$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.72 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 1c | 4,035$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 1,232$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.77 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 6c | 1,077$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 1,047$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.48 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 39c | 625.64$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.64 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 34c | 605.52$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.64 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 35c | 530.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.87 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 464.07$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.15 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 61c | 372.67$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.33 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 59c | 363.26$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.53 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed No | 7c | 312.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…ca52backed Yes | 40c | 303.12$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.12 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…c3f5backed No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa580…a6febacked Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 39c | 250$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 39c | 249.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.48 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 62c | 208.37$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.51 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 61c | 199.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 194.75$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.87 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 36c | 187.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.61 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 38c | 179.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.59 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…2d1ebacked Yes | 39c | 165.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 156$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 76c | 146.17$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 7c | 145.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 34c | 126.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 36c | 85.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 20c | 74.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 36c | 67.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 27c | 61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes | 36c | 59.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 65c | 59.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 31c | 57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…b669backed Yes | 39c | 53.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed No | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…687abacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x651e…567bbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 40c | 47.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked No | 63c | 46.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked No | 68c | 44.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 39c | 43.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 61c | 42.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 39c | 42.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked No | 27c | 38.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked Yes | 72c | 37.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 55c | 37.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 39c | 37.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed No | 66c | 35.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8053…ccc6backed Yes | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +166.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed No | 61c | 31.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Yes | 35c | 30.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked No | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 66c | 23.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd365…d792backed Yes | 76c | 13.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will AA Estudiantes vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?No won
- Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.