TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
CYBERSHOKE Esportsof CYBERSHOKE Esports, MOUZ NXT
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,649

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,649 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ NXT12c31,577$3,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,920.613,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6847…4f83backed MOUZ NXT40c7,965$3,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,198.051764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked MOUZ NXT38c4,264$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.3427947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed MOUZ NXT35c3,695$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.1711550.4%58 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ NXT4c2,994$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.845,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe9…c6dcbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports59c2,853$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.55660.7%34 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ NXT43c1,740$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.2585446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT51c1,531$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.246,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports59c1,400$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5806060%36 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked MOUZ NXT42c1,166$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.1225337.9%96 W · 157 L-14.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed MOUZ NXT41c1,121$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.1320440.7%83 W · 121 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports41c1,077$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.438131%118 W · 263 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ NXT24c1,021$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.2239248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed CYBERSHOKE Esports26c962.54$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.811,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed CYBERSHOKE Esports55c934.87$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.8716947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked MOUZ NXT25c900$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2291421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6da…7fbfbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports36c812.35$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.35560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked MOUZ NXT47c800.9$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.64146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae9…5b36backed CYBERSHOKE Esports43c730$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.91752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports58c710.34$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.3418752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…3becbacked MOUZ NXT46c674.79$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.11050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed MOUZ NXT16c625.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef66…f839backed MOUZ NXT34c612.66$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21013036.9%48 W · 82 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports38c606.49$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.3433060.9%201 W · 129 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed CYBERSHOKE Esports54c526.62$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.6221941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed MOUZ NXT44c499.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22015142.4%64 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports72c489.53$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.012,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed MOUZ NXT44c455.97$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6346345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT5c446.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.325,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1098…10a7backed MOUZ NXT72c415.66$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.291560%9 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked CYBERSHOKE Esports63c405.76$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.067,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad09…3c3fbacked MOUZ NXT43c398.77$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.2511344.2%50 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ NXT48c378$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.042,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed CYBERSHOKE Esports57c364.2$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.8828549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked MOUZ NXT62c348.82$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6419047.9%91 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports23c345.98$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.921,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed CYBERSHOKE Esports48c343.08$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.194,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e55…be6fbacked MOUZ NXT45c338.18$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15111636.2%42 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c98…944ebacked MOUZ NXT69c331$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5978…aec4backed MOUZ NXT65c309.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.522938%87 W · 142 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed MOUZ NXT49c305.16$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5669635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed CYBERSHOKE Esports68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2145058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb1…4ed2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports67c286$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.383148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports53c281.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0232536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ NXT10c257.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.43,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x548f…a2b4backed MOUZ NXT51c252.43$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.391361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed MOUZ NXT29c250.66$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.694337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed MOUZ NXT7c230$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.941,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x92f8…0e1fbacked MOUZ NXT51c227.45$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11612946.5%60 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58f…a8a3backed MOUZ NXT44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+39.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1349…359bbacked MOUZ NXT36c227.15$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.022343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed CYBERSHOKE Esports58c221.98$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2332344.3%143 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc995…2224backed MOUZ NXT42c214.29$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908644.2%38 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68f4…b451backed MOUZ NXT63c213.03$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ NXT41c211.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.731,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed MOUZ NXT48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011538.3%44 W · 71 L-15.6wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-35.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0542…7d64backed CYBERSHOKE Esports69c205.62$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.74862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked MOUZ NXT25c205.13$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5613351.1%68 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed MOUZ NXT20c205$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7516349.1%80 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef71…898bbacked MOUZ NXT61c201.07$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2612946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked MOUZ NXT49c200.43$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1614950.3%75 W · 74 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x086a…0855backed MOUZ NXT5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports6c199$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.352,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed MOUZ NXT73c198.64$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4980744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf0…4046backed CYBERSHOKE Esports74c179.98$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.84557.8%26 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed CYBERSHOKE Esports57c176.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5718454.3%100 W · 84 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa442…d722backed CYBERSHOKE Esports58c173.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.151866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39e2…040dbacked MOUZ NXT14c165.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.210045%45 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked MOUZ NXT8c162.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.851,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports55c157.24$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6435744.3%158 W · 199 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed MOUZ NXT46c157.11$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6317236%62 W · 110 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x944e…327bbacked MOUZ NXT34c152$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6c4…d354backed CYBERSHOKE Esports67c149.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.41369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9483…e264backed MOUZ NXT34c148$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4f…03acbacked MOUZ NXT27c146.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.542128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-49.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa3da…c9d2backed MOUZ NXT34c146.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0510…4c9cbacked MOUZ NXT69c133.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8213449.3%66 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports20c128.01$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2138636%139 W · 247 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dfe…989bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports58c127.08$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked MOUZ NXT67c117$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.393240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed MOUZ NXT43c114.87$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.91,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked MOUZ NXT48c107.44$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.571,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75bb…74fcbacked MOUZ NXT72c103.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked MOUZ NXT22c100.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2226048.8%127 W · 133 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked MOUZ NXT48c98.51$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0429547.8%141 W · 154 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed CYBERSHOKE Esports52c98.19$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.131,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked MOUZ NXT31c97.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.292326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x891b…67b5backed MOUZ NXT16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT35c92.68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.835,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a48…e79cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc26c…ffddbacked MOUZ NXT45c87.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf907…c154backed CYBERSHOKE Esports66c81$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3691648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaf0d…fc74backed CYBERSHOKE Esports66c80$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4446…3838backed CYBERSHOKE Esports66c78.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a29…f3fbbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports66c78$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f0…1d72backed CYBERSHOKE Esports66c77$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f53…acb1backed MOUZ NXT57c76.68$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.061741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed MOUZ NXT45c76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.239239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed CYBERSHOKE Esports45c73.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.334221.4%9 W · 33 L-10.0wins-0.24per pick45cpaid-56.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.