TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
CYBERSHOKE Esportsof CYBERSHOKE Esports, MOUZ NXT
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,778 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8fe9…c6dcbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports67c3,345$2,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.545660.7%34 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT45c2,524$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.176,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports35c1,698$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.873,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed MOUZ NXT51c1,378$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.5580744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed MOUZ NXT51c1,276$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.616836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…3becbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports49c1,256$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.091050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ NXT39c1,176$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.3185446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed CYBERSHOKE Esports59c1,092$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.3221941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed CYBERSHOKE Esports40c1,043$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.7111550.4%58 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed MOUZ NXT1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142150.9%2 W · 213 L-1.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed CYBERSHOKE Esports56c928.61$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.8669635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed MOUZ NXT5c888$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.96352.9%1 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-91.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed CYBERSHOKE Esports58c864.13$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.1316947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT37c647.03$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.865,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ NXT40c634.26$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.339248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c0…c3b9backed CYBERSHOKE Esports55c490$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.51662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c5a…acc3backed MOUZ NXT44c490$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.62634.6%9 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-37.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed MOUZ NXT31c482.31$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6615142.4%64 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62ca…1277backed MOUZ NXT12c419.26$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.54825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f35…ed78backed MOUZ NXT44c405$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.23458.8%20 W · 14 L+6.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+54.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x0fd8…2213backed CYBERSHOKE Esports55c405$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.251675%12 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+36.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed MOUZ NXT49c329$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2124641.9%103 W · 143 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bc6…3442backed CYBERSHOKE Esports59c310$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1071…e39ebacked MOUZ NXT14c305.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.431020%2 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14dd…2996backed CYBERSHOKE Esports59c291$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ NXT48c284$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.012,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc715…1b7dbacked MOUZ NXT41c283$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed MOUZ NXT49c264.05$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3865546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79b6…3799backed MOUZ NXT41c237.25$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.281936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x158a…c822backed CYBERSHOKE Esports59c235$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed MOUZ NXT43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004221.4%9 W · 33 L-10.0wins-0.24per pick45cpaid-56.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x677c…1da5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports59c230$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4cd…258ebacked MOUZ NXT41c222$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b7e…d0f7backed MOUZ NXT41c222$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ab…b364backed MOUZ NXT41c216$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b9…2478backed CYBERSHOKE Esports59c213$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked MOUZ NXT45c210.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.919540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…fa87backed MOUZ NXT41c208$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9231…fc90backed CYBERSHOKE Esports59c201$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c6…1ee2backed MOUZ NXT41c201$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports21c200$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1581,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc995…2224backed MOUZ NXT43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868644.2%38 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…7009backed CYBERSHOKE Esports59c193$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x845c…4800backed MOUZ NXT41c191$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed CYBERSHOKE Esports45c181.35$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.144,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad5f…ab9ebacked MOUZ NXT41c181$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe554…230cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports59c176$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed MOUZ NXT43c171.83$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3228046.8%131 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4fa…26c2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports59c169$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports60c151.72$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.721,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x772e…e585backed MOUZ NXT41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked CYBERSHOKE Esports55c148.25$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.747,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70af…e586backed MOUZ NXT41c144$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed MOUZ NXT45c139.24$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6317236%62 W · 110 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked MOUZ NXT72c125$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9027848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c4…d354backed CYBERSHOKE Esports80c124.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.891369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa442…d722backed CYBERSHOKE Esports80c123.21$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.641866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports56c119.97$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2835744.3%158 W · 199 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed MOUZ NXT43c99.94$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4344244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75bb…74fcbacked MOUZ NXT50c99.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.01742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f53…acb1backed MOUZ NXT47c92.82$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.31741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a48…e79cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports56c70.16$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8771951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee4b…44edbacked MOUZ NXT73c45.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.361540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed MOUZ NXT45c40.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0952755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.