CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x236cf6bdfa49f898786f8296cd38b82e246492499136e90f89833bad69f1e3aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof CYBERSHOKE Esports, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,219 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x338c…1b33backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 31c | 2,881$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ NXT | 68c | 2,284$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.27 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 53c | 568.63$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.69 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 62c | 557.35$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.14 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…ef63backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…cbf0backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…2de7backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 56c | 450$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…0fd9backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 450$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed MOUZ NXT | 53c | 380.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.19 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 35c | 364.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed MOUZ NXT | 53c | 347.86$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.97 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked MOUZ NXT | 79c | 306.36$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…3799backed MOUZ NXT | 55c | 198.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 48c | 142.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ NXT | 74c | 132.57$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed MOUZ NXT | 53c | 123.57$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MOUZ NXT | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 43c | 98.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 32c | 95.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 17c | 93.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…acb1backed MOUZ NXT | 52c | 87.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked MOUZ NXT | 79c | 62.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ NXT | 44c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 51c | 35.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…48a3backed MOUZ NXT | 68c | 23.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 56c | 20.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 PlayoffsCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.